Football · South Korea Women K League · 02/09, 12:00

Prediction: Sejong Sportstoto (W) vs Gyeongju (W)

Team pages: Sejong Sportstoto (W) · Gyeongju (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.83Total

Sejong Sportstoto (W)1.25

Gyeongju (W)1.58

1X2

29% 27% 44%

Sejong Sportstoto (W) Draw Gyeongju (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Sejong Sportstoto (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDLDWLWDWW

Gyeongju (W) 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WWWDWWDDLD

Head-to-head

Sejong Sportstoto (W) 1–2–3 Gyeongju (W) (6 last)

Gyeongju (W)0-0Sejong Sportstoto (W)
Sejong Sportstoto (W)2-4Gyeongju (W)
Gyeongju (W)1-2Sejong Sportstoto (W)
Gyeongju (W)3-3Sejong Sportstoto (W)
Sejong Sportstoto (W)1-4Gyeongju (W)
Gyeongju (W)1-0Sejong Sportstoto (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sejong Sportstoto (W) 1524 · Gyeongju (W) 1544

	Sejong Sportstoto (W)	Draw	Gyeongju (W)
Our model	29%	27%	44%
Market	29%	27%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Gyeongju (W): 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sejong Sportstoto (W)	Gyeongju (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 0.7	2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.3	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.7	1.5 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.2	2.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.30

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.98

2 (-0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
14:04 +4’	3.10	3.30	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sejong Sportstoto (W) 1–2–3 Gyeongju (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/07/26 South Korea Women K League	Gyeongju (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Sejong Sportstoto (W)
27/05/26 South Korea Women K League	Sejong Sportstoto (W)	2-4 HT 1-1	Gyeongju (W)
10/04/26 South Korea Women K League	Gyeongju (W)	1-2 HT 1-1	Sejong Sportstoto (W)
15/09/25 South Korea Women K League	Gyeongju (W)	3-3 HT 1-1	Sejong Sportstoto (W)
19/06/25 South Korea Women K League	Sejong Sportstoto (W)	1-4 HT 0-2	Gyeongju (W)
08/05/25 South Korea Women K League	Gyeongju (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Sejong Sportstoto (W)

Standings · South Korea Women K League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Suwon FC (W)	22	17	2	3	56	17	53
2	Hwacheon KSPO (W)	21	12	6	3	29	10	42
3	Sejong Sportstoto (W)	22	9	4	9	24	28	31
4	Gyeongju (W)	22	8	6	8	33	28	30
5	Mungyeong Sangmu Women	22	9	2	11	23	30	29
6	Incheon Red Angels (W)	22	6	5	11	20	31	23
7	Seoul Amazones (W)	21	7	2	12	19	33	23
8	Gangjin Swans (W)	22	3	5	14	20	47	14

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sejong Sportstoto (W)	Gyeongju (W)
Mungyeong Sangmu Women	1-0 W	3-2 W
Gangjin Swans (W)	2-0 W	6-1 W
Hwacheon KSPO (W)	0-0 D	1-1 D
Incheon Red Angels (W)	1-0 W	1-1 D
Suwon FC (W)	1-4 L	2-3 L
Seoul Amazones (W)	3-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 3 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sejong Sportstoto (W)

LDLDWLWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Mungyeong Sangmu Women South Korea Women K League	0-0	1-0	7	0	W
21/08	Gangjin Swans (W) South Korea Women K League	2-0	2-0	2	1	W
15/08	Hwacheon KSPO (W) South Korea Women K League	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
07/08	Incheon Red Angels (W) South Korea Women K League	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
31/07	Suwon FC (W) South Korea Women K League	0-2	1-4	2	3	L
24/07	Seoul Amazones (W) South Korea Women K League	1-0	3-0	5	3	W
18/07	Gyeongju (W) South Korea Women K League	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
10/07	Mungyeong Sangmu Women South Korea Women K League	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
27/06	Gangjin Swans (W) South Korea Women K League	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
20/06	Hwacheon KSPO (W) South Korea Women K League	0-1	0-2	–	–	L

Gyeongju (W)

WWWDWWDDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Incheon Red Angels (W) South Korea Women K League	0-1	1-1	8	3	D
22/08	Suwon FC (W) South Korea Women K League	0-1	2-3	–	–	L
14/08	Seoul Amazones (W) South Korea Women K League	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
07/08	Hwacheon KSPO (W) South Korea Women K League	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
01/08	Mungyeong Sangmu Women South Korea Women K League	2-0	3-2	–	–	W
24/07	Gangjin Swans (W) South Korea Women K League	3-0	6-1	3	0	W
18/07	Sejong Sportstoto (W) South Korea Women K League	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
11/07	Incheon Red Angels (W) South Korea Women K League	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
26/06	Suwon FC (W) South Korea Women K League	2-1	2-1	0	5	W
20/06	Seoul Amazones (W) South Korea Women K League	2-0	3-1	7	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sejong Sportstoto (W) vs Gyeongju (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Gyeongju (W) win (44%). Probabilities: Sejong Sportstoto (W) 29%, draw 27%, Gyeongju (W) 44%.

How many goals are expected in Sejong Sportstoto (W) vs Gyeongju (W)?

The model expects 2.83 goals (Sejong Sportstoto (W) 1.25 · Gyeongju (W) 1.58), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Sejong Sportstoto (W) vs Gyeongju (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.