Football · South Korea Women K League · 02/09, 12:00

Prediction: Gangjin Swans (W) vs Mungyeong Sangmu Women

Team pages: Gangjin Swans (W) · Mungyeong Sangmu Women

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.42Total

Gangjin Swans (W)1.02

Mungyeong Sangmu Women1.4

1X2

27% 28% 45%

Gangjin Swans (W) Draw Mungyeong Sangmu Women

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Gangjin Swans (W) 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

DLLWLLDDLD

Mungyeong Sangmu Women 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

DWWLLLWLWL

Head-to-head

Gangjin Swans (W) 2–1–3 Mungyeong Sangmu Women (6 last)

Mungyeong Sangmu Women0-1Gangjin Swans (W)
Gangjin Swans (W)1-2Mungyeong Sangmu Women
Mungyeong Sangmu Women1-0Gangjin Swans (W)
Gangjin Swans (W)0-0Mungyeong Sangmu Women
Mungyeong Sangmu Women5-0Gangjin Swans (W)
Gangjin Swans (W)2-1Mungyeong Sangmu Women

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gangjin Swans (W) 1437 · Mungyeong Sangmu Women 1493

	Gangjin Swans (W)	Draw	Mungyeong Sangmu Women
Our model	26%	29%	44%
Market	28%	26%	46%

Estimated total (ours) 2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mungyeong Sangmu Women (rating 1437 vs 1493).
H2H favours Mungyeong Sangmu Women: 3-1-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gangjin Swans (W)	Mungyeong Sangmu Women
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 2	1.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1.4	0.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 2.7	1.3 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.7 / 0	1.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.20

X3.40

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.02

2 (-0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
14:04 +4’	3.20	3.40	1.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gangjin Swans (W) 2–1–3 Mungyeong Sangmu Women

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
18/07/26 South Korea Women K League	Mungyeong Sangmu Women	0-1 HT 0-0	Gangjin Swans (W)
01/07/26 South Korea Women K League	Gangjin Swans (W)	1-2 HT 0-2	Mungyeong Sangmu Women
11/04/26 South Korea Women K League	Mungyeong Sangmu Women	1-0 HT 0-0	Gangjin Swans (W)
29/09/25 South Korea Women K League	Gangjin Swans (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Mungyeong Sangmu Women
21/08/25 South Korea Women K League	Mungyeong Sangmu Women	5-0 HT 3-0	Gangjin Swans (W)
22/05/25 South Korea Women K League	Gangjin Swans (W)	2-1 HT 2-1	Mungyeong Sangmu Women

Standings · South Korea Women K League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Suwon FC (W)	22	17	2	3	56	17	53
2	Hwacheon KSPO (W)	21	12	6	3	29	10	42
3	Sejong Sportstoto (W)	22	9	4	9	24	28	31
4	Gyeongju (W)	22	8	6	8	33	28	30
5	Mungyeong Sangmu Women	22	9	2	11	23	30	29
6	Incheon Red Angels (W)	22	6	5	11	20	31	23
7	Seoul Amazones (W)	21	7	2	12	19	33	23
8	Gangjin Swans (W)	22	3	5	14	20	47	14

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gangjin Swans (W)	Mungyeong Sangmu Women
Hwacheon KSPO (W)	1-1 D	0-2 L
Sejong Sportstoto (W)	0-2 L	0-1 L
Incheon Red Angels (W)	1-1 D	2-1 W
Suwon FC (W)	0-0 D	1-3 L
Seoul Amazones (W)	1-3 L	2-1 W
Gyeongju (W)	1-6 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Mungyeong Sangmu Women (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gangjin Swans (W)

DLLWLLDDLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Hwacheon KSPO (W) South Korea Women K League	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
21/08	Sejong Sportstoto (W) South Korea Women K League	0-2	0-2	1	1	L
15/08	Incheon Red Angels (W) South Korea Women K League	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
07/08	Suwon FC (W) South Korea Women K League	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
01/08	Seoul Amazones (W) South Korea Women K League	1-1	1-3	1	4	L
24/07	Gyeongju (W) South Korea Women K League	0-3	1-6	0	0	L
18/07	Mungyeong Sangmu Women South Korea Women K League	0-0	1-0	9	0	W
11/07	Hwacheon KSPO (W) South Korea Women K League	0-4	1-5	–	–	L
01/07	Mungyeong Sangmu Women South Korea Women K League	0-2	1-2	2	2	L
27/06	Sejong Sportstoto (W) South Korea Women K League	0-0	0-0	5	3	D

Mungyeong Sangmu Women

DWWLLLWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Sejong Sportstoto (W) South Korea Women K League	0-0	0-1	2	0	L
21/08	Incheon Red Angels (W) South Korea Women K League	1-0	2-1	3	1	W
14/08	Suwon FC (W) South Korea Women K League	0-1	1-3	4	2	L
08/08	Seoul Amazones (W) South Korea Women K League	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
01/08	Gyeongju (W) South Korea Women K League	0-2	2-3	–	–	L
24/07	Hwacheon KSPO (W) South Korea Women K League	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
18/07	Gangjin Swans (W) South Korea Women K League	0-0	0-1	3	0	L
10/07	Sejong Sportstoto (W) South Korea Women K League	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
01/07	Gangjin Swans (W) South Korea Women K League	2-0	2-1	4	2	W
27/06	Incheon Red Angels (W) South Korea Women K League	0-0	1-1	2	0	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gangjin Swans (W) vs Mungyeong Sangmu Women?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Mungyeong Sangmu Women win (45%). Probabilities: Gangjin Swans (W) 27%, draw 28%, Mungyeong Sangmu Women 45%.

How many goals are expected in Gangjin Swans (W) vs Mungyeong Sangmu Women?

The model expects 2.42 goals (Gangjin Swans (W) 1.02 · Mungyeong Sangmu Women 1.4), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Gangjin Swans (W) vs Mungyeong Sangmu Women?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.