Football · South Korea Women K League · 31/10, 06:00

Prediction: Gangjin Swans (W) vs Sejong Sportstoto (W)

Team pages: Gangjin Swans (W) · Sejong Sportstoto (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.08Total

Gangjin Swans (W)0.84

Sejong Sportstoto (W)1.24

1X2

25% 29% 46%

Gangjin Swans (W) Draw Sejong Sportstoto (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Gangjin Swans (W) 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LDDLDLDLWL

Sejong Sportstoto (W) 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWDWWLLLDD

Head-to-head

Gangjin Swans (W) 0–2–4 Sejong Sportstoto (W) (6 last)

Sejong Sportstoto (W)2-0Gangjin Swans (W)
Gangjin Swans (W)0-0Sejong Sportstoto (W)
Sejong Sportstoto (W)3-1Gangjin Swans (W)
Sejong Sportstoto (W)1-1Gangjin Swans (W)
Gangjin Swans (W)0-1Sejong Sportstoto (W)
Sejong Sportstoto (W)2-0Gangjin Swans (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gangjin Swans (W) 1445 · Sejong Sportstoto (W) 1487

	Gangjin Swans (W)	Draw	Sejong Sportstoto (W)
Our model	24%	32%	44%
Market	26%	26%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 2.08 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sejong Sportstoto (W) (rating 1445 vs 1487).
H2H favours Sejong Sportstoto (W): 4-2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gangjin Swans (W)	Sejong Sportstoto (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.1	0.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.2	1.6 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0	0.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.40

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.85

2 (-0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 1.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:16 +5’	3.40	3.40	1.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Gangjin Swans (W) 0–2–4 Sejong Sportstoto (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/08/26 South Korea Women K League	Sejong Sportstoto (W)	2-0 HT 2-0	Gangjin Swans (W)
27/06/26 South Korea Women K League	Gangjin Swans (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Sejong Sportstoto (W)
09/05/26 South Korea Women K League	Sejong Sportstoto (W)	3-1 HT 1-0	Gangjin Swans (W)
08/09/25 South Korea Women K League	Sejong Sportstoto (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	Gangjin Swans (W)
12/06/25 South Korea Women K League	Gangjin Swans (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Sejong Sportstoto (W)
01/05/25 South Korea Women K League	Sejong Sportstoto (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Gangjin Swans (W)

Standings · South Korea Women K League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Suwon FC (W)	27	20	2	5	60	21	62
2	Hwacheon KSPO (W)	28	15	10	3	39	14	55
3	Gyeongju (W)	27	10	7	10	40	32	37
4	Seoul Amazones (W)	28	11	4	13	25	38	37
5	Mungyeong Sangmu Women	27	11	3	13	26	33	36
6	Sejong Sportstoto (W)	27	9	6	12	26	34	33
7	Incheon Red Angels (W)	27	7	6	14	22	38	27
8	Gangjin Swans (W)	27	4	6	17	23	51	18

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gangjin Swans (W)	Sejong Sportstoto (W)
Incheon Red Angels (W)	0-1 L	1-1 D
Suwon FC (W)	2-0 W	0-1 L
Seoul Amazones (W)	0-1 L	0-2 L
Gyeongju (W)	1-1 D	0-1 L
Mungyeong Sangmu Women	0-1 L	1-0 W
Hwacheon KSPO (W)	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Gangjin Swans (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gangjin Swans (W)

LDDLDLDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/10	Incheon Red Angels (W) South Korea Women K League	0-0	0-1	6	1	L
07/10	Suwon FC (W) South Korea Women K League	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
03/10	Seoul Amazones (W) South Korea Women K League	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
05/09	Gyeongju (W) South Korea Women K League	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
02/09	Mungyeong Sangmu Women South Korea Women K League	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
29/08	Hwacheon KSPO (W) South Korea Women K League	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
21/08	Sejong Sportstoto (W) South Korea Women K League	0-2	0-2	1	1	L
15/08	Incheon Red Angels (W) South Korea Women K League	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
07/08	Suwon FC (W) South Korea Women K League	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
01/08	Seoul Amazones (W) South Korea Women K League	1-1	1-3	1	4	L

Sejong Sportstoto (W)

LWDWWLLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/10	Hwacheon KSPO (W) South Korea Women K League	1-0	1-1	3	0	D
07/10	Incheon Red Angels (W) South Korea Women K League	0-1	1-1	0	0	D
02/10	Suwon FC (W) South Korea Women K League	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
05/09	Seoul Amazones (W) South Korea Women K League	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
02/09	Gyeongju (W) South Korea Women K League	0-0	0-1	5	0	L
29/08	Mungyeong Sangmu Women South Korea Women K League	0-0	1-0	7	0	W
21/08	Gangjin Swans (W) South Korea Women K League	2-0	2-0	2	1	W
15/08	Hwacheon KSPO (W) South Korea Women K League	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
07/08	Incheon Red Angels (W) South Korea Women K League	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
31/07	Suwon FC (W) South Korea Women K League	0-2	1-4	2	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gangjin Swans (W) vs Sejong Sportstoto (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sejong Sportstoto (W) win (46%). Probabilities: Gangjin Swans (W) 25%, draw 29%, Sejong Sportstoto (W) 46%.

How many goals are expected in Gangjin Swans (W) vs Sejong Sportstoto (W)?

The model expects 2.08 goals (Gangjin Swans (W) 0.84 · Sejong Sportstoto (W) 1.24), with a 58% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Gangjin Swans (W) vs Sejong Sportstoto (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.