Football · South Korea Women K League · 28/10, 11:00

Prediction: Incheon Red Angels (W) vs Gangjin Swans (W)

Team pages: Incheon Red Angels (W) · Gangjin Swans (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.64Total

Incheon Red Angels (W)1.57

Gangjin Swans (W)1.07

1X2

48% 27% 25%

Incheon Red Angels (W) Draw Gangjin Swans (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Incheon Red Angels (W) 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

LLLDLDLLLD

Gangjin Swans (W) 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LLDDLDLDLW

Head-to-head

Incheon Red Angels (W) 5–1–0 Gangjin Swans (W) (6 last)

Gangjin Swans (W)1-1Incheon Red Angels (W)
Incheon Red Angels (W)3-2Gangjin Swans (W)
Gangjin Swans (W)1-3Incheon Red Angels (W)
Incheon Red Angels (W)1-0Gangjin Swans (W)
Incheon Red Angels (W)3-0Gangjin Swans (W)
Gangjin Swans (W)1-2Incheon Red Angels (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Incheon Red Angels (W) 1433 · Gangjin Swans (W) 1437

	Incheon Red Angels (W)	Draw	Gangjin Swans (W)
Our model	48%	28%	25%
Market	49%	26%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Incheon Red Angels (W): 5-1-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Incheon Red Angels (W)	Gangjin Swans (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.4 / 1.8	0.7 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.1	0.7 / 2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.3 / 0	1.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.50

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
18:03 +8’	1.85	3.50	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Incheon Red Angels (W) 5–1–0 Gangjin Swans (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
15/08/26 South Korea Women K League	Gangjin Swans (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	Incheon Red Angels (W)
20/06/26 South Korea Women K League	Incheon Red Angels (W)	3-2 HT 3-0	Gangjin Swans (W)
05/05/26 South Korea Women K League	Gangjin Swans (W)	1-3 HT 0-1	Incheon Red Angels (W)
22/09/25 South Korea Women K League	Incheon Red Angels (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Gangjin Swans (W)
28/08/25 South Korea Women K League	Incheon Red Angels (W)	3-0 HT 2-0	Gangjin Swans (W)
26/06/25 South Korea Women K League	Gangjin Swans (W)	1-2 HT 0-2	Incheon Red Angels (W)

Standings · South Korea Women K League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Suwon FC (W)	26	19	2	5	59	21	59
2	Hwacheon KSPO (W)	28	15	10	3	39	14	55
3	Seoul Amazones (W)	27	11	4	12	25	34	37
4	Mungyeong Sangmu Women	26	11	3	12	26	32	36
5	Gyeongju (W)	26	9	7	10	36	32	34
6	Sejong Sportstoto (W)	27	9	6	12	26	34	33
7	Incheon Red Angels (W)	26	6	6	14	21	38	24
8	Gangjin Swans (W)	26	4	6	16	23	50	18

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Incheon Red Angels (W)	Gangjin Swans (W)
Sejong Sportstoto (W)	1-1 D	0-2 L
Hwacheon KSPO (W)	0-3 L	1-1 D
Suwon FC (W)	0-2 L	2-0 W
Seoul Amazones (W)	0-1 L	0-1 L
Gyeongju (W)	1-1 D	1-1 D
Mungyeong Sangmu Women	1-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 4 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Gangjin Swans (W) (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Incheon Red Angels (W)

LLLDLDLLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/10	Sejong Sportstoto (W) South Korea Women K League	1-0	1-1	0	0	D
02/10	Hwacheon KSPO (W) South Korea Women K League	0-1	0-3	0	1	L
05/09	Suwon FC (W) South Korea Women K League	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
02/09	Seoul Amazones (W) South Korea Women K League	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
28/08	Gyeongju (W) South Korea Women K League	1-0	1-1	7	3	D
21/08	Mungyeong Sangmu Women South Korea Women K League	0-1	1-2	10	1	L
15/08	Gangjin Swans (W) South Korea Women K League	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
07/08	Sejong Sportstoto (W) South Korea Women K League	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
31/07	Hwacheon KSPO (W) South Korea Women K League	0-1	0-2	1	1	L
24/07	Suwon FC (W) South Korea Women K League	0-2	0-4	0	0	L

Gangjin Swans (W)

LLDDLDLDLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/10	Suwon FC (W) South Korea Women K League	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
03/10	Seoul Amazones (W) South Korea Women K League	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
05/09	Gyeongju (W) South Korea Women K League	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
02/09	Mungyeong Sangmu Women South Korea Women K League	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
29/08	Hwacheon KSPO (W) South Korea Women K League	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
21/08	Sejong Sportstoto (W) South Korea Women K League	0-2	0-2	1	1	L
15/08	Incheon Red Angels (W) South Korea Women K League	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
07/08	Suwon FC (W) South Korea Women K League	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
01/08	Seoul Amazones (W) South Korea Women K League	1-1	1-3	1	4	L
24/07	Gyeongju (W) South Korea Women K League	0-3	1-6	0	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Incheon Red Angels (W) vs Gangjin Swans (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Incheon Red Angels (W) win (48%). Probabilities: Incheon Red Angels (W) 48%, draw 27%, Gangjin Swans (W) 25%.

How many goals are expected in Incheon Red Angels (W) vs Gangjin Swans (W)?

The model expects 2.64 goals (Incheon Red Angels (W) 1.57 · Gangjin Swans (W) 1.07), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Incheon Red Angels (W) vs Gangjin Swans (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.