Football · South Korea Women K League · 28/10, 11:00

Prediction: Gyeongju (W) vs Seoul Amazones (W)

Team pages: Gyeongju (W) · Seoul Amazones (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.49Total

Gyeongju (W)1.45

Seoul Amazones (W)1.04

1X2

46% 27% 27%

Gyeongju (W) Draw Seoul Amazones (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Gyeongju (W) 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WWDDLDWDLL

Seoul Amazones (W) 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LDDLWWDDWW

Head-to-head

Gyeongju (W) 2–1–3 Seoul Amazones (W) (6 last)

Seoul Amazones (W)0-0Gyeongju (W)
Seoul Amazones (W)1-3Gyeongju (W)
Seoul Amazones (W)2-1Gyeongju (W)
Seoul Amazones (W)2-0Gyeongju (W)
Gyeongju (W)2-1Seoul Amazones (W)
Gyeongju (W)1-4Seoul Amazones (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gyeongju (W) 1506 · Seoul Amazones (W) 1527

	Gyeongju (W)	Draw	Seoul Amazones (W)
Our model	45%	29%	26%
Market	47%	25%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Seoul Amazones (W): 3-1-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gyeongju (W)	Seoul Amazones (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.2	0.8 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.3 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 3.5	2.4 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.3 / 0	1.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.60

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
16:13 +3’	1.90	3.60	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Gyeongju (W) 2–1–3 Seoul Amazones (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/08/26 South Korea Women K League	Seoul Amazones (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Gyeongju (W)
20/06/26 South Korea Women K League	Seoul Amazones (W)	1-3 HT 0-2	Gyeongju (W)
01/09/25 South Korea Women K League	Seoul Amazones (W)	2-1 HT 0-0	Gyeongju (W)
09/06/25 South Korea Women K League	Seoul Amazones (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Gyeongju (W)
28/04/25 South Korea Women K League	Gyeongju (W)	2-1 HT 1-1	Seoul Amazones (W)
15/03/25 South Korea Women K League	Gyeongju (W)	1-4 HT 0-2	Seoul Amazones (W)

Standings · South Korea Women K League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Suwon FC (W)	26	19	2	5	59	21	59
2	Hwacheon KSPO (W)	28	15	10	3	39	14	55
3	Seoul Amazones (W)	27	11	4	12	25	34	37
4	Mungyeong Sangmu Women	26	11	3	12	26	32	36
5	Gyeongju (W)	26	9	7	10	36	32	34
6	Sejong Sportstoto (W)	27	9	6	12	26	34	33
7	Incheon Red Angels (W)	26	6	6	14	21	38	24
8	Gangjin Swans (W)	26	4	6	16	23	50	18

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gyeongju (W)	Seoul Amazones (W)
Hwacheon KSPO (W)	1-2 L	1-1 D
Mungyeong Sangmu Women	0-1 L	1-0 W
Gangjin Swans (W)	1-1 D	1-0 W
Sejong Sportstoto (W)	1-0 W	2-0 W
Incheon Red Angels (W)	1-1 D	1-0 W
Suwon FC (W)	2-3 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Seoul Amazones (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gyeongju (W)

WWDDLDWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/10	Hwacheon KSPO (W) South Korea Women K League	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
03/10	Mungyeong Sangmu Women South Korea Women K League	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
05/09	Gangjin Swans (W) South Korea Women K League	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
02/09	Sejong Sportstoto (W) South Korea Women K League	0-0	1-0	1	0	W
28/08	Incheon Red Angels (W) South Korea Women K League	0-1	1-1	8	3	D
22/08	Suwon FC (W) South Korea Women K League	0-1	2-3	–	–	L
14/08	Seoul Amazones (W) South Korea Women K League	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
07/08	Hwacheon KSPO (W) South Korea Women K League	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
01/08	Mungyeong Sangmu Women South Korea Women K League	2-0	3-2	–	–	W
24/07	Gangjin Swans (W) South Korea Women K League	3-0	6-1	3	0	W

Seoul Amazones (W)

LDDLWWDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/10	Mungyeong Sangmu Women South Korea Women K League	1-0	1-0	3	1	W
03/10	Gangjin Swans (W) South Korea Women K League	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
23/09	Hwacheon KSPO (W) South Korea Women K League	0-1	1-1	1	0	D
14/09	Hwacheon KSPO (W) South Korea Women K League	0-0	0-0	0	2	D
05/09	Sejong Sportstoto (W) South Korea Women K League	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
02/09	Incheon Red Angels (W) South Korea Women K League	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
28/08	Suwon FC (W) South Korea Women K League	1-0	1-2	4	2	L
21/08	Hwacheon KSPO (W) South Korea Women K League	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
14/08	Gyeongju (W) South Korea Women K League	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
08/08	Mungyeong Sangmu Women South Korea Women K League	0-0	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gyeongju (W) vs Seoul Amazones (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gyeongju (W) win (46%). Probabilities: Gyeongju (W) 46%, draw 27%, Seoul Amazones (W) 27%.

How many goals are expected in Gyeongju (W) vs Seoul Amazones (W)?

The model expects 2.49 goals (Gyeongju (W) 1.45 · Seoul Amazones (W) 1.04), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Gyeongju (W) vs Seoul Amazones (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.