Football · Argentina Nacional B · 17/10, 22:00

Prediction: Gimnasia y Tiro vs CA Atlanta

Team pages: Gimnasia y Tiro · CA Atlanta

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.92Total

Gimnasia y Tiro1.11

CA Atlanta0.82

1X2

41% 33% 26%

Gimnasia y Tiro Draw CA Atlanta

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

Gimnasia y Tiro 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWDLWWDLWL

CA Atlanta 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWLLWWDWWW

Head-to-head

Gimnasia y Tiro 1–3–1 CA Atlanta (5 last)

CA Atlanta1-1Gimnasia y Tiro
Gimnasia y Tiro2-2CA Atlanta
CA Atlanta1-0Gimnasia y Tiro
Gimnasia y Tiro1-0CA Atlanta
CA Atlanta1-1Gimnasia y Tiro

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gimnasia y Tiro 1527 · CA Atlanta 1540

	Gimnasia y Tiro	Draw	CA Atlanta
Our model	41%	34%	25%
Market	41%	33%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 1.92 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gimnasia y Tiro	CA Atlanta
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.6	1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.2	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.6	1.5 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.2	3.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.25

X2.80

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.77

Under 1.752.02

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 1.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
01:13 +3’	2.25	2.80	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Gimnasia y Tiro 1–3–1 CA Atlanta

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Argentina Nacional B	CA Atlanta	1-1 HT 0-0	Gimnasia y Tiro
27/09/25 Argentina Nacional B	Gimnasia y Tiro	2-2 HT 0-0	CA Atlanta
24/05/25 Argentina Nacional B	CA Atlanta	1-0 HT 0-0	Gimnasia y Tiro
28/07/24 Argentina Nacional B	Gimnasia y Tiro	1-0 HT 0-0	CA Atlanta
12/03/24 Argentina Nacional B	CA Atlanta	1-1 HT 0-0	Gimnasia y Tiro

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tristan Suarez	33	15	14	4	32	15	59
2	CA Atlanta	33	18	4	11	39	30	58
3	Club Atletico Temperley	32	15	11	6	38	26	56
4	Gimnasia Jujuy	32	15	9	8	48	40	54
5	Ferrocarril Midland	33	14	9	10	38	26	51
6	Gimnasia y Tiro	32	13	9	10	32	28	48
7	Deportivo Maipu	32	13	8	11	39	31	47
8	CA Colegiales	33	13	8	12	32	31	47
9	San Martin SJ	32	12	9	11	34	32	45
10	San Martin de Tucuman	33	10	13	10	35	33	43
11	Atletico Rafaela	33	11	9	13	27	34	42
12	Almagro	33	11	8	14	30	39	41
13	Agropecuario	33	10	10	13	27	35	40
14	Quilmes	33	10	9	14	30	28	39
15	Nueva Chicago	32	9	9	14	23	30	36
16	Patronato Parana	32	6	16	10	27	32	34
17	Chacarita Juniors	33	9	6	18	25	35	33
18	CA Guemes	32	5	8	19	23	54	23

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gimnasia y Tiro	CA Atlanta
San Martin de Tucuman	0-1 L	1-0 W
Atletico Rafaela	1-0 W	3-2 W
Agropecuario	0-1 L	1-0 W
Tristan Suarez	0-0 D	0-0 D
CA Guemes	3-1 W	2-0 W
Chacarita Juniors	1-0 W	1-0 W
San Martin SJ	1-3 L	0-1 L
Nueva Chicago	2-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	6 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CA Atlanta (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gimnasia y Tiro

WWDLWWDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
27/09	Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
20/09	Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
12/09	Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
06/09	CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B	2-0	3-1	3	1	W
29/08	Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	1	7	W
22/08	San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B	0-2	1-3	3	0	L
16/08	Central Norte Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
09/08	Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-0	9	2	W
05/08	Almagro Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-0	–	–	W

CA Atlanta

LWLLWWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	1	3	W
04/10	Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B	1-1	3-2	5	5	W
27/09	Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-0	7	2	W
21/09	Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
12/09	CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-0	1	6	W
05/09	Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-0	2	3	W
30/08	San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
26/08	Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-2	3	6	L
22/08	Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-0	2	7	W
15/08	Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B	0-1	1-3	3	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gimnasia y Tiro vs CA Atlanta?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gimnasia y Tiro win (41%). Probabilities: Gimnasia y Tiro 41%, draw 33%, CA Atlanta 26%.

How many goals are expected in Gimnasia y Tiro vs CA Atlanta?

The model expects 1.92 goals (Gimnasia y Tiro 1.11 · CA Atlanta 0.82), with a 52% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Gimnasia y Tiro vs CA Atlanta?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.