Football · Republic of Ireland First Division · 16/10, 20:45
Prediction: Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers
Team pages: Finn Harps · Bray Wanderers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.31Total
Finn Harps1.49
Bray Wanderers1.82
1X2
Finn Harps
Draw
Bray Wanderers
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Finn Harps
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Bray Wanderers
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Finn Harps
2–1–3
Bray Wanderers
(6 last)
- Bray Wanderers5-0Finn Harps
- Finn Harps0-1Bray Wanderers
- Finn Harps2-1Bray Wanderers
- Bray Wanderers2-2Finn Harps
- Bray Wanderers3-2Finn Harps
- Finn Harps3-1Bray Wanderers
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bray Wanderers (rating 1403 vs 1507).
- H2H favours Bray Wanderers: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Finn Harps | Bray Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.7 | 1.9 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 2.6 | 2.2 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.1 | 5.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Finn Harps 2–1–3 Bray Wanderers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Bray Wanderers | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Finn Harps |
| 17/07/26 Republic of Ireland FAI Cup | Finn Harps | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Bray Wanderers |
| 04/05/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Finn Harps | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Bray Wanderers |
| 06/04/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Bray Wanderers | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Finn Harps |
| 19/09/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Bray Wanderers | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Finn Harps |
| 15/08/25 Republic of Ireland FAI Cup | Finn Harps | 3-1 HT 3-1 | Bray Wanderers |
Standings · Republic of Ireland First Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cork City | 35 | 23 | 5 | 7 | 73 | 34 | 74 |
| 2 | Bray Wanderers | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 67 | 51 | 54 |
| 3 | UCD | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 62 | 49 | 53 |
| 4 | Kerry FC | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 44 | 40 | 51 |
| 5 | Longford Town | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 48 | 46 | 49 |
| 6 | Cobh Ramblers | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 46 | 52 | 49 |
| 7 | Athlone Town | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 42 | 42 | 48 |
| 8 | Wexford FC | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 53 | 42 |
| 9 | Treaty United FC | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 53 | 39 |
| 10 | Finn Harps | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 31 | 70 | 25 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Finn Harps | Bray Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Cork City | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Kerry FC | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Treaty United FC | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Longford Town | 0-1 L | 2-4 L |
| Wexford FC | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Athlone Town | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| UCD | 4-5 L | 3-1 W |
| Cobh Ramblers | 1-3 L | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 7 L | 3 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Bray Wanderers (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Finn Harps
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 02/10 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 25/09 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 18/09 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 11/09 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 04/09 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 28/08 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-1 | 4-5 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 21/08 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 07/08 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-2 | 0-5 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 03/08 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
Bray Wanderers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 10 | D |
| 02/10 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-3 | 1-4 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 25/09 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 18/09 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 11/09 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 04/09 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 28/08 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-3 | 2-4 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 07/08 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 03/08 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Bray Wanderers win (45%). Probabilities: Finn Harps 31%, draw 25%, Bray Wanderers 45%.
How many goals are expected in Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers?
The model expects 3.31 goals (Finn Harps 1.49 · Bray Wanderers 1.82), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.