Football · Republic of Ireland First Division · 16/10, 20:45

Prediction: Longford Town vs Athlone Town

Team pages: Longford Town · Athlone Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.04Total

Longford Town1.58

Athlone Town1.47

1X2

39% 26% 34%

Longford Town Draw Athlone Town

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Longford Town 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLWDLLWWDD

Athlone Town 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWWDWDWL

Head-to-head

Longford Town 2–2–2 Athlone Town (6 last)

Athlone Town2-1Longford Town
Longford Town1-1Athlone Town
Athlone Town2-0Longford Town
Athlone Town1-2Longford Town
Longford Town3-2Athlone Town
Athlone Town1-1Longford Town

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Longford Town	Athlone Town
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.4	2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 4.8	2.5 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.1	3.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.92

Under 31.87

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:27

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.06 → 3.07▲	Pinn 3.07
X	3.72 → 3.71▼	Pinn 3.71
2	2.12 → 2.12	Pinn 2.12

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.7%

Time*	1	X	2
00:44 +121’	3.06	3.72	2.12
12:34 +413’	3.07▲	3.71▼	2.12

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Longford Town 2–2–2 Athlone Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/08/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	Athlone Town	2-1 HT 2-0	Longford Town
04/05/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	Longford Town	1-1 HT 0-0	Athlone Town
06/04/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	Athlone Town	2-0 HT 1-0	Longford Town
17/10/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	Athlone Town	1-2 HT 1-0	Longford Town
23/06/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	Longford Town	3-2 HT 1-2	Athlone Town
21/04/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	Athlone Town	1-1 HT 0-0	Longford Town

Standings · Republic of Ireland First Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cork City	35	23	5	7	73	34	74
2	Bray Wanderers	35	15	9	11	67	51	54
3	UCD	35	15	8	12	62	49	53
4	Kerry FC	35	14	9	12	44	40	51
5	Longford Town	35	13	10	12	48	46	49
6	Cobh Ramblers	35	14	7	14	46	52	49
7	Athlone Town	35	13	9	13	42	42	48
8	Wexford FC	35	11	9	15	42	53	42
9	Treaty United FC	35	10	9	16	35	53	39
10	Finn Harps	35	6	7	22	31	70	25

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Longford Town	Athlone Town
UCD	1-1 D	2-2 D
Wexford FC	3-3 D	2-0 W
Cork City	2-1 W	2-1 W
Finn Harps	1-0 W	1-0 W
Treaty United FC	0-2 L	1-2 L
Kerry FC	0-1 L	3-0 W
Cobh Ramblers	2-2 D	3-3 D
Bray Wanderers	4-2 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 2 L	5 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Athlone Town (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Longford Town

WLWDLLWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	UCD Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	1-1	8	4	D
02/10	Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-2	3-3	5	3	D
26/09	Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	2-1	2	2	W
18/09	Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	1-0	2	6	W
12/09	Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-2	0-2	8	4	L
05/09	Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
28/08	Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division	2-0	2-2	3	5	D
22/08	Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division	3-1	4-2	4	6	W
07/08	Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division	0-2	1-2	6	7	L
03/08	Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	5-0	5	4	W

Athlone Town

LWWWWDWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	1-2	6	1	L
02/10	Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division	2-1	2-1	3	4	W
25/09	Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division	1-1	3-3	3	5	D
18/09	Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	3-0	8	3	W
11/09	UCD Republic of Ireland First Division	1-1	2-2	8	2	D
04/09	Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
28/08	Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division	1-1	2-1	6	4	W
21/08	Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	2-0	7	6	W
07/08	Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division	2-0	2-1	0	7	W
03/08	Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division	1-3	2-3	8	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Longford Town vs Athlone Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Longford Town win (39%). Probabilities: Longford Town 39%, draw 26%, Athlone Town 34%.

How many goals are expected in Longford Town vs Athlone Town?

The model expects 3.04 goals (Longford Town 1.58 · Athlone Town 1.47), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Longford Town vs Athlone Town?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.