Football · Australia Western Australia State League 1 · 11/07, 09:00

Prediction: Subiaco AFC vs Murdoch University Melville FC

Expected goals: 4 (Subiaco AFC 1.87 · Murdoch University Melville FC 2.12). The model gives 34% home, 23% draw, 43% away. Over 3.5 goals (53%) and both teams to score (62%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Over its last 10 matches, Subiaco AFC sits at 2-0-8 (W-D-L), while Murdoch University Melville FC arrives on a 2-3-5 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Subiaco AFC and 2 for Murdoch University Melville FC, with 2 draws.

43%2
34% 23% 43%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Subiaco AFC 1429 · Murdoch University Melville FC 1460
Subiaco AFCDrawMurdoch University Melville FC
Our model34%22%44%
Market33%24%43%
Estimated total (ours) 4 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals4Subiaco AFC 1.87 · Murdoch University Melville FC 2.12
Over / Under 3.5Over 3.5 · 53%
BTTSYes · 62%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Subiaco AFCMurdoch University Melville FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 2.61.8 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 1.61 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/0/80%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 4.62.6 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.34.3 / 0.6

Head-to-head (H2H) · Subiaco AFC 222 Murdoch University Melville FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/04/26
Australia Western Australia State League 1
Murdoch University Melville FC2-1
HT 1-1
Subiaco AFC
30/08/25
Australia Western Australia State League 1
Subiaco AFC2-1
HT 1-1
Murdoch University Melville FC
24/05/25
Australia Western Australia State League 1
Murdoch University Melville FC0-2
HT 0-1
Subiaco AFC
27/07/24
Australia Western Australia State League 1
Subiaco AFC0-0
HT 0-0
Murdoch University Melville FC
04/05/24
Australia Western Australia State League 1
Murdoch University Melville FC2-2
HT 1-2
Subiaco AFC
17/06/23
Australia Western Australia State League 1
Subiaco AFC2-3
HT 1-1
Murdoch University Melville FC

Standings · Australia Western Australia State League 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 UWA-Nedlands FC 151122 371735
2 Joondalup City 151014 291931
3 Floreat Athena 15933 321830
4 Mandurah City 15825 362726
5 Inglewood United 15735 131524
6 Kingsley Westside 15717 242222
7 Cockburn City 15546 283119
8 Quinns FC 15537 193018
9 Murdoch University Melville FC 15366 253015
10 Gwelup Croatia SC 15366 213015
11 Curtin University SC 152310 11239
12 Subiaco AFC 153012 25389

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSubiaco AFCMurdoch University Melville FC
Inglewood United 0-2 L 1-1 D
Joondalup City 1-4 L 3-4 L
Quinns FC 2-1 W 1-3 L
Mandurah City 3-5 L 1-2 L
Cockburn City 1-2 L 2-3 L
UWA-Nedlands FC 2-3 L 0-3 L
Curtin University SC 0-2 L 3-2 W
Gwelup Croatia SC 5-1 W 2-2 D
Floreat Athena 4-5 L 2-2 D
Kingsley Westside 0-1 L 3-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 8 L 2 W 3 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Murdoch University Melville FC (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Subiaco AFC

LLWLLLLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Inglewood United
Australia Western Australia State League 1
0-1 0-2 L
27/06 Joondalup City
Australia Western Australia State League 1
1-3 1-4 L
20/06 Quinns FC
Australia Western Australia State League 1
1-0 2-1 W
13/06 Mandurah City
Australia Western Australia State League 1
1-3 3-5 46 L
06/06 Cockburn City
Australia Western Australia State League 1
0-2 1-2 52 L
30/05 UWA-Nedlands FC
Australia Western Australia State League 1
1-2 2-3 55 L
23/05 Curtin University SC
Australia Western Australia State League 1
0-1 0-2 34 L
16/05 Gwelup Croatia SC
Australia Western Australia State League 1
2-0 5-1 87 W
08/05 Floreat Athena
Australia Western Australia State League 1
1-3 4-5 12 L
02/05 Kingsley Westside
Australia Western Australia State League 1
0-1 0-1 63 L

Murdoch University Melville FC

DWLLWLLDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Floreat Athena
Australia Western Australia State League 1
1-1 2-2 D
27/06 Quinns FC
Australia Western Australia State League 1
1-0 1-3 L
20/06 Inglewood United
Australia Western Australia State League 1
1-0 1-1 D
13/06 Cockburn City
Australia Western Australia State League 1
0-1 2-3 46 L
06/06 Mandurah City
Australia Western Australia State League 1
0-0 1-2 32 L
30/05 Kingsley Westside
Australia Western Australia State League 1
2-0 3-1 24 W
23/05 UWA-Nedlands FC
Australia Western Australia State League 1
0-1 0-3 31 L
19/05 Joondalup City
Australia Western Australia State League 1
2-2 3-4 57 L
15/05 Curtin University SC
Australia Western Australia State League 1
1-1 3-2 711 W
09/05 Gwelup Croatia SC
Australia Western Australia State League 1
2-1 2-2 73 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Subiaco AFC vs Murdoch University Melville FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Murdoch University Melville FC win (43%). Probabilities: Subiaco AFC 34%, draw 23%, Murdoch University Melville FC 43%.

How many goals are expected in Subiaco AFC vs Murdoch University Melville FC?

The model expects 4 goals (Subiaco AFC 1.87 · Murdoch University Melville FC 2.12), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Subiaco AFC vs Murdoch University Melville FC?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.