Prediction: Gwelup Croatia SC vs Inglewood United
Expected goals: 2.88 (Gwelup Croatia SC 1.36 · Inglewood United 1.51). The model gives 34% home, 26% draw, 40% away. Under 3 goals (53%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Gwelup Croatia SC with 0 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses over 10 games; Inglewood United has piled up 6-1-3 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Gwelup Croatia SC won 2 and Inglewood United 4.
| Gwelup Croatia SC | Draw | Inglewood United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 27% | 40% |
| Market | 34% | 25% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Inglewood United (rating 1441 vs 1522).
- H2H favours Inglewood United: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gwelup Croatia SC | Inglewood United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.4 | 1.1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 50/10/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 4.6 | 3.1 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.4 | 5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gwelup Croatia SC 2–0–4 Inglewood United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Australia Western Australia State League 1 | Inglewood United | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Gwelup Croatia SC |
| 09/08/25 Australia Western Australia State League 1 | Gwelup Croatia SC | 2-3 HT 1-0 | Inglewood United |
| 24/05/25 Australia Western Australia State League 1 | Inglewood United | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Gwelup Croatia SC |
| 16/02/25 Australia Western Australia State League 1 | Gwelup Croatia SC | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Inglewood United |
| 09/07/22 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Inglewood United | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Gwelup Croatia SC |
| 16/04/22 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Gwelup Croatia SC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Inglewood United |
Standings · Australia Western Australia State League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UWA-Nedlands FC | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 37 | 17 | 35 |
| 2 | Joondalup City | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 31 |
| 3 | Floreat Athena | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Mandurah City | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 36 | 27 | 26 |
| 5 | Inglewood United | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 24 |
| 6 | Kingsley Westside | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 22 | 22 |
| 7 | Cockburn City | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 31 | 19 |
| 8 | Quinns FC | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 18 |
| 9 | Murdoch University Melville FC | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 30 | 15 |
| 10 | Gwelup Croatia SC | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 30 | 15 |
| 11 | Curtin University SC | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 23 | 9 |
| 12 | Subiaco AFC | 15 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 25 | 38 | 9 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gwelup Croatia SC | Inglewood United |
|---|---|---|
| Mandurah City | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Curtin University SC | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| UWA-Nedlands FC | 0-2 L | 0-4 L |
| Joondalup City | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Floreat Athena | 0-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Quinns FC | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Kingsley Westside | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Subiaco AFC | 1-5 L | 2-0 W |
| Murdoch University Melville FC | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Cockburn City | 4-4 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 5 D 5 L | 6 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Inglewood United (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gwelup Croatia SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Mandurah City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 27/06 | Curtin University SC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 20/06 | UWA-Nedlands FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | Joondalup City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 05/06 | Floreat Athena Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Quinns FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 23/05 | Kingsley Westside Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Subiaco AFC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-2 | 1-5 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | Murdoch University Melville FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 06/05 | Cockburn City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 6 | D |
Inglewood United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Subiaco AFC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Floreat Athena Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 20/06 | Murdoch University Melville FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 13/06 | Kingsley Westside Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 06/06 | Curtin University SC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Cockburn City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Joondalup City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Quinns FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Mandurah City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 06/05 | UWA-Nedlands FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gwelup Croatia SC vs Inglewood United?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Inglewood United win (40%). Probabilities: Gwelup Croatia SC 34%, draw 26%, Inglewood United 40%.
How many goals are expected in Gwelup Croatia SC vs Inglewood United?
The model expects 2.88 goals (Gwelup Croatia SC 1.36 · Inglewood United 1.51), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Gwelup Croatia SC vs Inglewood United?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.