Prediction: Mandurah City vs Gwelup Croatia SC
Expected goals: 3.82 (Mandurah City 2.44 · Gwelup Croatia SC 1.38). The model gives 60% home, 20% draw, 20% away. Over 3.5 goals (52%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 2-1.
Recent form leaves Mandurah City with 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Gwelup Croatia SC has piled up 1-4-5 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Mandurah City won 2 and Gwelup Croatia SC 3, with 1 draw.
| Mandurah City | Draw | Gwelup Croatia SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 20% | 20% |
| Market | 60% | 20% | 20% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mandurah City (rating 1541 vs 1456).
- H2H favours Gwelup Croatia SC: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mandurah City | Gwelup Croatia SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.4 | 1.1 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 3.8 | 1.3 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.3 | 4.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mandurah City 2–1–3 Gwelup Croatia SC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Australia Western Australia State League 1 | Gwelup Croatia SC | 5-2 HT 2-2 | Mandurah City |
| 21/06/25 Australia Western Australia State League 1 | Mandurah City | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Gwelup Croatia SC |
| 22/03/25 Australia Western Australia State League 1 | Gwelup Croatia SC | 4-2 HT 1-2 | Mandurah City |
| 01/03/25 Australia Friendlies | Mandurah City | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Gwelup Croatia SC |
| 17/08/24 Australia Western Australia State League 1 | Gwelup Croatia SC | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Mandurah City |
| 05/08/23 Australia Western Australia State League 1 | Gwelup Croatia SC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Mandurah City |
Standings · Australia Western Australia State League 1
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UWA-Nedlands FC | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 34 | 17 | 32 |
| 2 | Floreat Athena | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 16 | 29 |
| 3 | Joondalup City | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 28 |
| 4 | Mandurah City | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 25 | 25 |
| 5 | Kingsley Westside | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 19 | 22 |
| 6 | Inglewood United | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | Quinns FC | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 27 | 18 |
| 8 | Cockburn City | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 28 | 16 |
| 9 | Murdoch University Melville FC | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 28 | 14 |
| 10 | Gwelup Croatia SC | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 28 | 14 |
| 11 | Subiaco AFC | 14 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 25 | 36 | 9 |
| 12 | Curtin University SC | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 9 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mandurah City | Gwelup Croatia SC |
|---|---|---|
| Kingsley Westside | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Cockburn City | 2-2 D | 4-4 D |
| Subiaco AFC | 5-3 W | 1-5 L |
| Murdoch University Melville FC | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Floreat Athena | 2-1 W | 0-4 L |
| Quinns FC | 4-0 W | 1-1 D |
| UWA-Nedlands FC | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Inglewood United | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Curtin University SC | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Joondalup City | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 4 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Mandurah City (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mandurah City
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Kingsley Westside Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 20/06 | Cockburn City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 13/06 | Subiaco AFC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
3-1 | 5-3 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 06/06 | Murdoch University Melville FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Floreat Athena Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Quinns FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | UWA-Nedlands FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Inglewood United Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 06/05 | Curtin University SC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Joondalup City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Gwelup Croatia SC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Curtin University SC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 20/06 | UWA-Nedlands FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | Joondalup City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 05/06 | Floreat Athena Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Quinns FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 23/05 | Kingsley Westside Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Subiaco AFC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-2 | 1-5 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | Murdoch University Melville FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 06/05 | Cockburn City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | Inglewood United Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mandurah City vs Gwelup Croatia SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Mandurah City win (60%). Probabilities: Mandurah City 60%, draw 20%, Gwelup Croatia SC 20%.
How many goals are expected in Mandurah City vs Gwelup Croatia SC?
The model expects 3.82 goals (Mandurah City 2.44 · Gwelup Croatia SC 1.38), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Mandurah City vs Gwelup Croatia SC?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.