Prediction: Inglewood United vs Subiaco AFC
Expected goals: 3.25 (Inglewood United 1.94 · Subiaco AFC 1.31). The model gives 52% home, 23% draw, 25% away. Over 3 goals (53%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Inglewood United is 5-1-4 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Subiaco AFC 2-0-8 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for Inglewood United and 1 for Subiaco AFC, with 2 draws.
| Inglewood United | Draw | Subiaco AFC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 24% | 25% |
| Market | 52% | 22% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Inglewood United (rating 1520 vs 1409).
- H2H favours Inglewood United: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Inglewood United | Subiaco AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.4 | 1.9 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 1.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 20/10/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.3 | 2.4 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.4 | 3.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Inglewood United 3–2–1 Subiaco AFC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Australia Western Australia State League 1 | Subiaco AFC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Inglewood United |
| 28/02/26 Australia Friendlies | Inglewood United | 4-2 HT 1-0 | Subiaco AFC |
| 16/08/25 Australia Western Australia State League 1 | Inglewood United | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Subiaco AFC |
| 31/05/25 Australia Western Australia State League 1 | Subiaco AFC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Inglewood United |
| 02/06/18 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Subiaco AFC | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Inglewood United |
| 02/03/18 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Inglewood United | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Subiaco AFC |
Standings · Australia Western Australia State League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UWA-Nedlands FC | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 34 | 17 | 32 |
| 2 | Floreat Athena | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 16 | 29 |
| 3 | Joondalup City | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 28 |
| 4 | Mandurah City | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 25 | 25 |
| 5 | Kingsley Westside | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 19 | 22 |
| 6 | Inglewood United | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | Quinns FC | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 27 | 18 |
| 8 | Cockburn City | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 28 | 16 |
| 9 | Murdoch University Melville FC | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 28 | 14 |
| 10 | Gwelup Croatia SC | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 28 | 14 |
| 11 | Subiaco AFC | 14 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 25 | 36 | 9 |
| 12 | Curtin University SC | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 9 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Inglewood United | Subiaco AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Floreat Athena | 0-2 L | 4-5 L |
| Murdoch University Melville FC | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Kingsley Westside | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Curtin University SC | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Cockburn City | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Joondalup City | 1-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Quinns FC | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Mandurah City | 2-1 W | 3-5 L |
| UWA-Nedlands FC | 0-4 L | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 0 D 8 L |
Better against common opponents: Inglewood United (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Inglewood United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Floreat Athena Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 20/06 | Murdoch University Melville FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 13/06 | Kingsley Westside Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 06/06 | Curtin University SC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Cockburn City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Joondalup City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Quinns FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Mandurah City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 06/05 | UWA-Nedlands FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 01/05 | Perth RedStar FC Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
Subiaco AFC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Joondalup City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-3 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 20/06 | Quinns FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | Mandurah City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-3 | 3-5 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 06/06 | Cockburn City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | UWA-Nedlands FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Curtin University SC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Gwelup Croatia SC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
2-0 | 5-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 08/05 | Floreat Athena Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Kingsley Westside Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Murdoch University Melville FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Inglewood United vs Subiaco AFC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Inglewood United win (52%). Probabilities: Inglewood United 52%, draw 23%, Subiaco AFC 25%.
How many goals are expected in Inglewood United vs Subiaco AFC?
The model expects 3.25 goals (Inglewood United 1.94 · Subiaco AFC 1.31), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Inglewood United vs Subiaco AFC?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.