Prediction: Curtin University SC vs Cockburn City
Expected goals: 2.7 (Curtin University SC 1.2 · Cockburn City 1.5). The model gives 30% home, 26% draw, 44% away. Under 2.75 goals (51%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Curtin University SC sits at 2-3-5 (W-D-L), while Cockburn City arrives on a 3-3-4 run. In their only recent head-to-head meeting, Curtin University SC won 0 and Cockburn City 1.
| Curtin University SC | Draw | Cockburn City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 28% | 43% |
| Market | 31% | 24% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cockburn City (rating 1444 vs 1503).
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Curtin University SC | Cockburn City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.3 | 1.7 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/80/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.3 | 2.3 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 4.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Curtin University SC 0–0–1 Cockburn City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Australia Western Australia State League 1 | Cockburn City | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Curtin University SC |
Standings · Australia Western Australia State League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UWA-Nedlands FC | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 34 | 17 | 32 |
| 2 | Floreat Athena | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 16 | 29 |
| 3 | Joondalup City | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 28 |
| 4 | Mandurah City | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 25 | 25 |
| 5 | Kingsley Westside | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 19 | 22 |
| 6 | Inglewood United | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | Quinns FC | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 27 | 18 |
| 8 | Cockburn City | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 28 | 16 |
| 9 | Murdoch University Melville FC | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 28 | 14 |
| 10 | Gwelup Croatia SC | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 28 | 14 |
| 11 | Subiaco AFC | 14 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 25 | 36 | 9 |
| 12 | Curtin University SC | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 9 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Curtin University SC | Cockburn City |
|---|---|---|
| Gwelup Croatia SC | 0-0 D | 4-4 D |
| Kingsley Westside | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Quinns FC | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Inglewood United | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Joondalup City | 0-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Subiaco AFC | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Murdoch University Melville FC | 2-3 L | 3-2 W |
| UWA-Nedlands FC | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Mandurah City | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 5 L | 3 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Curtin University SC (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Curtin University SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Gwelup Croatia SC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 20/06 | Kingsley Westside Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Quinns FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 06/06 | Inglewood United Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Joondalup City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Subiaco AFC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 15/05 | Murdoch University Melville FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 11 | L |
| 09/05 | UWA-Nedlands FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 06/05 | Mandurah City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Western Knights Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
Cockburn City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | UWA-Nedlands FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 20/06 | Mandurah City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 13/06 | Murdoch University Melville FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 06/06 | Subiaco AFC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Inglewood United Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Floreat Athena Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Joondalup City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Quinns FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 06/05 | Gwelup Croatia SC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | Kingsley Westside Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Curtin University SC vs Cockburn City?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Cockburn City win (44%). Probabilities: Curtin University SC 30%, draw 26%, Cockburn City 44%.
How many goals are expected in Curtin University SC vs Cockburn City?
The model expects 2.7 goals (Curtin University SC 1.2 · Cockburn City 1.5), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Curtin University SC vs Cockburn City?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.