Prediction: Murdoch University Melville FC vs Floreat Athena
Expected goals: 3.73 (Murdoch University Melville FC 1.37 · Floreat Athena 2.35). The model gives 21% home, 21% draw, 59% away. Over 3.5 goals (50%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 1-2.
Over its last 10 matches, Murdoch University Melville FC sits at 3-2-5 (W-D-L), while Floreat Athena arrives on a 6-1-3 run. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 0 wins for Murdoch University Melville FC and 1 for Floreat Athena.
| Murdoch University Melville FC | Draw | Floreat Athena | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 21% | 59% |
| Market | 21% | 21% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Floreat Athena (rating 1457 vs 1539).
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Murdoch University Melville FC | Floreat Athena | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2.2 | 2.4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.7 | 1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.4 | 2.8 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.5 | 2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Murdoch University Melville FC 0–0–1 Floreat Athena
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Australia Western Australia State League 1 | Floreat Athena | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Murdoch University Melville FC |
Standings · Australia Western Australia State League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UWA-Nedlands FC | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 34 | 17 | 32 |
| 2 | Floreat Athena | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 16 | 29 |
| 3 | Joondalup City | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 28 |
| 4 | Mandurah City | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 25 | 25 |
| 5 | Kingsley Westside | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 19 | 22 |
| 6 | Inglewood United | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | Quinns FC | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 27 | 18 |
| 8 | Cockburn City | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 28 | 16 |
| 9 | Murdoch University Melville FC | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 28 | 14 |
| 10 | Gwelup Croatia SC | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 28 | 14 |
| 11 | Subiaco AFC | 14 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 25 | 36 | 9 |
| 12 | Curtin University SC | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 9 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Murdoch University Melville FC | Floreat Athena |
|---|---|---|
| Inglewood United | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Cockburn City | 2-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Mandurah City | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Kingsley Westside | 3-1 W | 4-0 W |
| UWA-Nedlands FC | 0-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Joondalup City | 3-4 L | 1-3 L |
| Curtin University SC | 3-2 W | 3-1 W |
| Gwelup Croatia SC | 2-2 D | 4-0 W |
| Subiaco AFC | 2-1 W | 5-4 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 4 L | 5 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Floreat Athena (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Murdoch University Melville FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Quinns FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 20/06 | Inglewood United Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 13/06 | Cockburn City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 06/06 | Mandurah City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Kingsley Westside Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | UWA-Nedlands FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 19/05 | Joondalup City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
2-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 15/05 | Curtin University SC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 11 | W |
| 09/05 | Gwelup Croatia SC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Subiaco AFC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
Floreat Athena
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Inglewood United Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 20/06 | Joondalup City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | UWA-Nedlands FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
2-0 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 05/06 | Gwelup Croatia SC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Mandurah City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | Cockburn City Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Kingsley Westside Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 08/05 | Subiaco AFC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
3-1 | 5-4 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 27/04 | Curtin University SC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 18/04 | Murdoch University Melville FC Australia Western Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Murdoch University Melville FC vs Floreat Athena?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Floreat Athena win (59%). Probabilities: Murdoch University Melville FC 21%, draw 21%, Floreat Athena 59%.
How many goals are expected in Murdoch University Melville FC vs Floreat Athena?
The model expects 3.73 goals (Murdoch University Melville FC 1.37 · Floreat Athena 2.35), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Murdoch University Melville FC vs Floreat Athena?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.