Prediction: Balcatta FC (W) vs Sorrento (W)
Expected goals: 3.64 (Balcatta FC (W) 2.82 · Sorrento (W) 0.82). The model gives 82% home, 12% draw, 6% away. Under 4 goals (55%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 2-0.
Recent form leaves Balcatta FC (W) with 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses over 10 games; Sorrento (W) has piled up 2-2-6 in the same span. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Balcatta FC (W) and 0 for Sorrento (W).
| Balcatta FC (W) | Draw | Sorrento (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 15% | 8% |
| Market | 86% | 9% | 5% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Balcatta FC (W) (rating 1562 vs 1433).
- H2H favours Balcatta FC (W): 2-0-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Balcatta FC (W) | Sorrento (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.8 | 1.1 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.4 | 1 / 1.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0 | 1.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Balcatta FC (W) 2–0–0 Sorrento (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Australia WA Premier League Women | Sorrento (W) | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Balcatta FC (W) |
| 05/07/22 Australia WA State Cup Women | Sorrento (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Balcatta FC (W) |
Standings · Australia WA Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Perth SC (W) | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 33 |
| 2 | Balcatta FC (W) | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 10 | 25 |
| 3 | Fremantle City FC (W) | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 15 | 24 |
| 4 | Perth Redstar FC (W) | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 19 |
| 5 | Hyundai NTC Women | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 22 | 17 |
| 6 | Subiaco AFC (W) | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 29 | 10 |
| 7 | Sorrento (W) | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 8 |
| 8 | UWA-Nedlands FC (W) | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 38 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Balcatta FC (W) | Sorrento (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Subiaco AFC (W) | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Perth SC (W) | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Fremantle City FC (W) | 1-0 W | 3-4 L |
| UWA-Nedlands FC (W) | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Perth Redstar FC (W) | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Hyundai NTC Women | 4-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Balcatta FC (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Balcatta FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Subiaco AFC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | Perth SC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Fremantle City FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 31/05 | UWA-Nedlands FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | D |
| 24/05 | Perth Redstar FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 15/05 | Fremantle City FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
2-3 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | Sorrento (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/04 | Perth Redstar FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 17/04 | Perth SC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
Sorrento (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Perth Redstar FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 21/06 | Fremantle City FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
2-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 14/06 | UWA-Nedlands FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | Perth SC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 17/05 | UWA-Nedlands FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Fremantle City FC (W) Australia WA State Cup Women |
0-4 | 0-6 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 03/05 | Balcatta FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | Subiaco AFC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 19/04 | Fremantle City FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Balcatta FC (W) vs Sorrento (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Balcatta FC (W) win (82%). Probabilities: Balcatta FC (W) 82%, draw 12%, Sorrento (W) 6%.
How many goals are expected in Balcatta FC (W) vs Sorrento (W)?
The model expects 3.64 goals (Balcatta FC (W) 2.82 · Sorrento (W) 0.82), with a 55% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Balcatta FC (W) vs Sorrento (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.