Football · Australia WA Premier League Women · 11/07, 11:30

Prediction: Perth SC (W) vs UWA-Nedlands FC (W)

Expected goals: 4.03 (Perth SC (W) 3.02 · UWA-Nedlands FC (W) 1.02). The model gives 84% home, 10% draw, 6% away. Under 4.5 goals (56%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 3-1.

Recent form leaves Perth SC (W) with 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses over 10 games; UWA-Nedlands FC (W) has piled up 1-2-7 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Perth SC (W) won 6 and UWA-Nedlands FC (W) 0.

84%1
84% 10% 6%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Perth SC (W) 1659 · UWA-Nedlands FC (W) 1393
Perth SC (W)DrawUWA-Nedlands FC (W)
Our model77%14%9%
Market91%6%3%
Estimated total (ours) 4.03 goals · Bet365 line 4.5 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals4.03Perth SC (W) 3.02 · UWA-Nedlands FC (W) 1.02
Over / Under 4.5Under 4.5 · 56%
BTTSYes · 56%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Perth SC (W) (rating 1659 vs 1393).
  • H2H favours Perth SC (W): 6-0-0.
  • High corners: 10.8 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Perth SC (W)UWA-Nedlands FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)2.8 / 0.40.4 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)1.6 / 0.10.2 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/40/0%10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)3.9 / 71.9 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.5 / 01.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Perth SC (W) 600 UWA-Nedlands FC (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
26/04/26
Australia WA Premier League Women
UWA-Nedlands FC (W)1-3
HT 1-2
Perth SC (W)
20/03/26
Australia WA Premier League Women
Perth SC (W)6-0
HT 2-0
UWA-Nedlands FC (W)
20/02/26
Australia Friendlies
Perth SC (W)7-1
HT 4-1
UWA-Nedlands FC (W)
27/07/25
Australia WA Premier League Women
Perth SC (W)2-1
HT 1-1
UWA-Nedlands FC (W)
01/06/25
Australia WA Premier League Women
UWA-Nedlands FC (W)1-2
HT 0-1
Perth SC (W)
05/04/25
Australia WA Premier League Women
UWA-Nedlands FC (W)0-4Perth SC (W)

Standings · Australia WA Premier League Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Perth SC (W) 141130 30336
2 Fremantle City FC (W) 14833 321627
3 Balcatta FC (W) 14752 301126
4 Perth Redstar FC (W) 13544 221519
5 Hyundai NTC Women 14455 232417
6 Subiaco AFC (W) 13328 162911
7 Sorrento (W) 14239 15379
8 UWA-Nedlands FC (W) 141310 5386

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPerth SC (W)UWA-Nedlands FC (W)
Perth Redstar FC (W) 1-0 W 0-3 L
Fremantle City FC (W) 2-1 W 0-5 L
Balcatta FC (W) 1-0 W 1-1 D
Hyundai NTC Women 3-0 W 0-1 L
Sorrento (W) 3-0 W 1-0 W
Subiaco AFC (W) 5-0 W 0-0 D
Record vs common 6 W 0 D 0 L 1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Perth SC (W) (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Perth SC (W)

DWWWWWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Perth Redstar FC (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
0-0 1-0 102 W
28/06 Fremantle City FC (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
2-0 2-1 32 W
20/06 Balcatta FC (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
0-0 1-0 42 W
14/06 Hyundai NTC Women
Australia WA Premier League Women
2-0 3-0 61 W
07/06 Fremantle City 2 Women
Australia WA State Cup Women
6-0 8-0 100 W
31/05 Sorrento (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
3-0 3-0 80 W
24/05 Subiaco AFC (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
1-0 5-0 54 W
16/05 Hyundai NTC Women
Australia WA Premier League Women
0-0 1-0 90 W
09/05 Subiaco AFC (W)
Australia WA State Cup Women
2-1 3-2 92 W
02/05 Perth Redstar FC (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
0-0 1-1 62 D

UWA-Nedlands FC (W)

LLLLLDWLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Subiaco AFC (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
0-0 0-0 110 D
27/06 Hyundai NTC Women
Australia WA Premier League Women
0-0 0-1 20 L
21/06 Perth Redstar FC (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
0-2 0-3 40 L
14/06 Sorrento (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
0-0 1-0 73 W
31/05 Balcatta FC (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
1-0 1-1 10 D
24/05 Fremantle City FC (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
0-2 0-5 32 L
17/05 Sorrento (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
0-2 1-3 42 L
03/05 Subiaco AFC (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
0-1 0-3 32 L
26/04 Perth SC (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
1-2 1-3 30 L
19/04 Perth Redstar FC (W)
Australia WA Premier League Women
0-1 0-4 04 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Perth SC (W) vs UWA-Nedlands FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Perth SC (W) win (84%). Probabilities: Perth SC (W) 84%, draw 10%, UWA-Nedlands FC (W) 6%.

How many goals are expected in Perth SC (W) vs UWA-Nedlands FC (W)?

The model expects 4.03 goals (Perth SC (W) 3.02 · UWA-Nedlands FC (W) 1.02), with a 56% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Perth SC (W) vs UWA-Nedlands FC (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.