Football · Argentina Nacional B · 17/10, 22:00

Prediction: Ferro Carril Oeste vs Racing de Cordoba

Team pages: Ferro Carril Oeste · Racing de Cordoba

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.04Total

Ferro Carril Oeste1.56

Racing de Cordoba0.48

1X2

63% 26% 11%

Ferro Carril Oeste Draw Racing de Cordoba

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 56%

Most likely score

1-0 19%

Recent form · 10 last

Ferro Carril Oeste 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWDDDWWL

Racing de Cordoba 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LWDDWLLLDD

Head-to-head

Ferro Carril Oeste 2–3–1 Racing de Cordoba (6 last)

Racing de Cordoba0-0Ferro Carril Oeste
Ferro Carril Oeste2-2Racing de Cordoba
Racing de Cordoba4-0Ferro Carril Oeste
Ferro Carril Oeste2-0Racing de Cordoba
Racing de Cordoba1-1Ferro Carril Oeste
Ferro Carril Oeste3-1Racing de Cordoba

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ferro Carril Oeste 1530 · Racing de Cordoba 1465

	Ferro Carril Oeste	Draw	Racing de Cordoba
Our model	63%	27%	10%
Market	64%	26%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 2.04 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ferro Carril Oeste (rating 1530 vs 1465).
H2H favours Ferro Carril Oeste: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ferro Carril Oeste	Racing de Cordoba
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 0.9	0.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.4	1.9 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.5	3.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.44

X3.60

28.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.82

2 (+1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 21.80

Under 22.00

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.8%

Time*	1	X	2
01:10 +6’	1.44	3.60	8.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ferro Carril Oeste 2–3–1 Racing de Cordoba

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Argentina Nacional B	Racing de Cordoba	0-0 HT 0-0	Ferro Carril Oeste
02/09/25 Argentina Nacional B	Ferro Carril Oeste	2-2 HT 2-2	Racing de Cordoba
27/04/25 Argentina Nacional B	Racing de Cordoba	4-0 HT 0-0	Ferro Carril Oeste
01/09/24 Argentina Nacional B	Ferro Carril Oeste	2-0 HT 2-0	Racing de Cordoba
14/04/24 Argentina Nacional B	Racing de Cordoba	1-1 HT 1-0	Ferro Carril Oeste
30/09/23 Argentina Nacional B	Ferro Carril Oeste	3-1 HT 2-1	Racing de Cordoba

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ferro Carril Oeste	32	18	7	7	36	27	61
2	Deportivo Moron	33	17	7	9	51	34	58
3	Godoy Cruz	32	16	8	8	42	29	56
4	Deportivo Madryn	33	14	11	8	47	30	53
5	Colon	33	14	11	8	39	25	53
6	CA Estudiantes Caseros	33	13	9	11	31	27	48
7	Almirante Brown	33	12	11	10	26	22	47
8	Club Ciudad de Bolivar	32	11	12	9	27	28	45
9	Los Andes	32	9	13	10	25	23	40
10	CA Chaco For Ever	33	10	10	13	32	34	40
11	Defensores de Belgrano	33	8	13	12	25	32	37
12	CA San Telmo	32	9	10	13	28	36	37
13	Racing de Cordoba	32	9	10	13	29	39	37
14	Club Atletico Mitre	33	7	15	11	29	39	36
15	Central Norte	32	6	15	11	20	29	33
16	All Boys	32	6	15	11	18	28	33
17	Acassuso	33	8	8	17	25	35	32
18	CA San Miguel	33	6	14	13	26	39	32

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ferro Carril Oeste	Racing de Cordoba
Deportivo Madryn	0-2 L	0-2 L
Defensores de Belgrano	1-0 W	0-3 L
Club Ciudad de Bolivar	1-0 W	1-1 D
Almirante Brown	0-0 D	0-2 L
Godoy Cruz	1-3 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Ferro Carril Oeste (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ferro Carril Oeste

LWWWDDDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-2	5	8	L
27/09	Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-0	5	2	W
19/09	Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-0	7	6	W
13/09	Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
05/09	Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
30/08	CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B	0-1	2-2	6	6	D
25/08	All Boys Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	8	7	W
15/08	CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B	1-0	3-1	4	0	W
09/08	Los Andes Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-1	2	4	W
01/08	Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B	1-2	1-3	7	4	L

Racing de Cordoba

LWDDWLLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Central Norte Argentina Nacional B	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
27/09	Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B	0-1	2-2	5	4	D
20/09	Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-2	3	3	L
13/09	Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B	0-1	1-2	4	4	L
04/09	Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B	0-2	0-3	6	3	L
30/08	Colon Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
23/08	Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B	1-1	1-1	4	6	D
16/08	San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
09/08	CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
02/08	Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-2	6	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ferro Carril Oeste vs Racing de Cordoba?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ferro Carril Oeste win (63%). Probabilities: Ferro Carril Oeste 63%, draw 26%, Racing de Cordoba 11%.

How many goals are expected in Ferro Carril Oeste vs Racing de Cordoba?

The model expects 2.04 goals (Ferro Carril Oeste 1.56 · Racing de Cordoba 0.48), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Ferro Carril Oeste vs Racing de Cordoba?

The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.