Football · Argentina Nacional B · 17/10, 22:00

Prediction: Acassuso vs Deportivo Madryn

Team pages: Acassuso · Deportivo Madryn

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.81Total

Acassuso0.96

Deportivo Madryn0.86

1X2

36% 34% 30%

Acassuso Draw Deportivo Madryn

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 55% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-0 18%

Recent form · 10 last

Acassuso 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLLDLLWWLW

Deportivo Madryn 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWWLWLWDWL

Head-to-head

Acassuso 0–1–0 Deportivo Madryn (1 last)

Deportivo Madryn0-0Acassuso

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Acassuso 1486 · Deportivo Madryn 1534

	Acassuso	Draw	Deportivo Madryn
Our model	35%	35%	30%
Market	36%	33%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 1.81 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Madryn (rating 1486 vs 1534).
Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Acassuso	Deportivo Madryn
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 0.7	1.7 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.1	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/80/10%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.2	1.8 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.3	5.4 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

12.55

X2.80

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.75

2 (0)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 21.95

Under 21.85

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.3%

Time*	1	X	2
00:40 +36’	2.55	2.80	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Acassuso 0–1–0 Deportivo Madryn

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Argentina Nacional B	Deportivo Madryn	0-0 HT 0-0	Acassuso

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ferro Carril Oeste	32	18	7	7	36	27	61
2	Deportivo Moron	33	17	7	9	51	34	58
3	Godoy Cruz	32	16	8	8	42	29	56
4	Deportivo Madryn	33	14	11	8	47	30	53
5	Colon	33	14	11	8	39	25	53
6	CA Estudiantes Caseros	33	13	9	11	31	27	48
7	Almirante Brown	33	12	11	10	26	22	47
8	Club Ciudad de Bolivar	32	11	12	9	27	28	45
9	Los Andes	32	9	13	10	25	23	40
10	CA Chaco For Ever	33	10	10	13	32	34	40
11	Defensores de Belgrano	33	8	13	12	25	32	37
12	CA San Telmo	32	9	10	13	28	36	37
13	Racing de Cordoba	32	9	10	13	29	39	37
14	Club Atletico Mitre	33	7	15	11	29	39	36
15	Central Norte	32	6	15	11	20	29	33
16	All Boys	32	6	15	11	18	28	33
17	Acassuso	33	8	8	17	25	35	32
18	CA San Miguel	33	6	14	13	26	39	32

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Acassuso	Deportivo Madryn
Defensores de Belgrano	3-0 W	1-2 L
Club Ciudad de Bolivar	0-1 L	3-1 W
Almirante Brown	1-0 W	0-1 L
Club Atletico Mitre	2-0 W	4-0 W
Godoy Cruz	0-1 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Madryn (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Acassuso

DLLDLLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B	2-0	3-0	1	3	W
03/10	Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
26/09	Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	4	8	W
19/09	Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B	0-0	2-0	5	0	W
13/09	CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
05/09	All Boys Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	6	5	L
01/09	Los Andes Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	11	5	D
26/08	CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-2	7	8	L
21/08	Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	8	7	L
14/08	Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B	0-1	1-1	–	–	D

Deportivo Madryn

DWWLWLWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B	1-1	1-2	5	4	L
03/10	Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B	0-0	2-0	4	8	W
27/09	Central Norte Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
20/09	Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B	0-0	2-0	6	3	W
14/09	Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B	0-2	1-2	3	9	L
06/09	Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B	1-1	3-1	5	10	W
30/08	Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-1	5	3	L
26/08	Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-0	2	8	W
22/08	Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B	1-0	4-0	3	2	W
16/08	San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B	0-1	2-2	5	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Acassuso vs Deportivo Madryn?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Acassuso win (36%). Probabilities: Acassuso 36%, draw 34%, Deportivo Madryn 30%.

How many goals are expected in Acassuso vs Deportivo Madryn?

The model expects 1.81 goals (Acassuso 0.96 · Deportivo Madryn 0.86), with a 56% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Acassuso vs Deportivo Madryn?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.