Football · Argentina Nacional B · 17/10, 22:00

Prediction: Colon vs Almirante Brown

Team pages: Colon · Almirante Brown

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.89Total

Colon1.21

Almirante Brown0.68

1X2

48% 32% 20%

Colon Draw Almirante Brown

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 58% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

1-0 17%

Recent form · 10 last

Colon 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Almirante Brown 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Colon 2–2–1 Almirante Brown (5 last)

Almirante Brown1-1Colon
Colon1-0Almirante Brown
Almirante Brown2-0Colon
Almirante Brown0-0Colon
Colon2-1Almirante Brown

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Colon 1523 · Almirante Brown 1492

	Colon	Draw	Almirante Brown
Our model	48%	33%	20%
Market	49%	31%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 1.89 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Colon: 2-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Colon	Almirante Brown
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.2	1.6 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.2	3.7 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.00

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.77

Under 1.752.02

Diff.: 0 · xG: 1.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.2%

Time*	1	X	2
00:30 +46’	1.90	3.00	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Colon 2–2–1 Almirante Brown

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Argentina Nacional B	Almirante Brown	1-1 HT 1-0	Colon
13/07/25 Argentina Nacional B	Colon	1-0 HT 1-0	Almirante Brown
10/03/25 Argentina Nacional B	Almirante Brown	2-0 HT 1-0	Colon
07/07/24 Argentina Nacional B	Almirante Brown	0-0 HT 0-0	Colon
19/02/24 Argentina Nacional B	Colon	2-1 HT 1-0	Almirante Brown

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ferro Carril Oeste	32	18	7	7	36	27	61
2	Deportivo Moron	33	17	7	9	51	34	58
3	Godoy Cruz	32	16	8	8	42	29	56
4	Deportivo Madryn	33	14	11	8	47	30	53
5	Colon	33	14	11	8	39	25	53
6	CA Estudiantes Caseros	33	13	9	11	31	27	48
7	Almirante Brown	33	12	11	10	26	22	47
8	Club Ciudad de Bolivar	32	11	12	9	27	28	45
9	Los Andes	32	9	13	10	25	23	40
10	CA Chaco For Ever	33	10	10	13	32	34	40
11	Defensores de Belgrano	33	8	13	12	25	32	37
12	CA San Telmo	32	9	10	13	28	36	37
13	Racing de Cordoba	32	9	10	13	29	39	37
14	Club Atletico Mitre	33	7	15	11	29	39	36
15	Central Norte	32	6	15	11	20	29	33
16	All Boys	32	6	15	11	18	28	33
17	Acassuso	33	8	8	17	25	35	32
18	CA San Miguel	33	6	14	13	26	39	32

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Colon	Almirante Brown
CA San Miguel	2-1 W	1-1 D
CA San Telmo	1-0 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Colon (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Colon

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
03/10	CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	9	4	W
26/09	All Boys Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
20/09	Los Andes Argentina Nacional B	3-0	3-0	3	4	W
13/09	Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-2	2	7	L
05/09	Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B	0-2	1-2	2	6	L
30/08	Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
22/08	CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-1	4	5	W
15/08	Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B	1-0	3-0	2	2	W
09/08	CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	10	8	W

Almirante Brown

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
04/10	CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B	1-2	2-3	9	3	L
26/09	Acassuso Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	4	8	L
20/09	CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-1	2	1	L
13/09	Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
06/09	Central Norte Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	7	7	D
30/08	Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
22/08	Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-0	2	2	W
16/08	Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B	0-2	1-3	5	4	L
08/08	Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B	0-0	2-0	4	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Colon vs Almirante Brown?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Colon win (48%). Probabilities: Colon 48%, draw 32%, Almirante Brown 20%.

How many goals are expected in Colon vs Almirante Brown?

The model expects 1.89 goals (Colon 1.21 · Almirante Brown 0.68), with a 52% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Colon vs Almirante Brown?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.