Football · Argentina Nacional B · 17/10, 22:00

Prediction: Nueva Chicago vs Gimnasia Jujuy

Team pages: Nueva Chicago · Gimnasia Jujuy

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.27Total

Nueva Chicago1.27

Gimnasia Jujuy1

1X2

41% 31% 28%

Nueva Chicago Draw Gimnasia Jujuy

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Nueva Chicago 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLLWLDWL

Gimnasia Jujuy 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

LWDDWWDDLD

Head-to-head

Nueva Chicago 2–1–3 Gimnasia Jujuy (6 last)

Gimnasia Jujuy4-0Nueva Chicago
Nueva Chicago1-0Gimnasia Jujuy
Gimnasia Jujuy2-1Nueva Chicago
Gimnasia Jujuy2-0Nueva Chicago
Gimnasia Jujuy1-2Nueva Chicago
Nueva Chicago1-1Gimnasia Jujuy

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nueva Chicago 1447 · Gimnasia Jujuy 1518

	Nueva Chicago	Draw	Gimnasia Jujuy
Our model	41%	31%	28%
Market	41%	31%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.27 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gimnasia Jujuy (rating 1447 vs 1518).
H2H favours Gimnasia Jujuy: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nueva Chicago	Gimnasia Jujuy
Goals for / against (FT)	0.5 / 1	1.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.3	3.9 / 7.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.3	2.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.00

23.30

Line ⓘ

Over 21.78

Under 21.98

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Pinn 2.38 ★
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.1% Pinnacle margin 7.5%

Time*	1	X	2
00:55 +21’	2.25	3.00	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:42 +34’	2.38	2.98	3.13

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nueva Chicago 2–1–3 Gimnasia Jujuy

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/06/26 Argentina Nacional B	Gimnasia Jujuy	4-0 HT 2-0	Nueva Chicago
14/09/25 Argentina Nacional B	Nueva Chicago	1-0 HT 0-0	Gimnasia Jujuy
10/05/25 Argentina Nacional B	Gimnasia Jujuy	2-1 HT 2-0	Nueva Chicago
27/07/22 Argentina Nacional B	Gimnasia Jujuy	2-0 HT 1-0	Nueva Chicago
10/02/19 Argentina Nacional B	Gimnasia Jujuy	1-2 HT 1-1	Nueva Chicago
02/12/17 Argentina Nacional B	Nueva Chicago	1-1 HT 1-1	Gimnasia Jujuy

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tristan Suarez	33	15	14	4	32	15	59
2	CA Atlanta	33	18	4	11	39	30	58
3	Club Atletico Temperley	32	15	11	6	38	26	56
4	Gimnasia Jujuy	32	15	9	8	48	40	54
5	Ferrocarril Midland	33	14	9	10	38	26	51
6	Gimnasia y Tiro	32	13	9	10	32	28	48
7	Deportivo Maipu	32	13	8	11	39	31	47
8	CA Colegiales	33	13	8	12	32	31	47
9	San Martin SJ	32	12	9	11	34	32	45
10	San Martin de Tucuman	33	10	13	10	35	33	43
11	Atletico Rafaela	33	11	9	13	27	34	42
12	Almagro	33	11	8	14	30	39	41
13	Agropecuario	33	10	10	13	27	35	40
14	Quilmes	33	10	9	14	30	28	39
15	Nueva Chicago	32	9	9	14	23	30	36
16	Patronato Parana	32	6	16	10	27	32	34
17	Chacarita Juniors	33	9	6	18	25	35	33
18	CA Guemes	32	5	8	19	23	54	23

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nueva Chicago	Gimnasia Jujuy
Deportivo Maipu	0-1 L	1-1 D
Almagro	1-0 W	2-1 W
Patronato Parana	1-1 D	3-3 D
Gimnasia y Tiro	0-2 L	2-2 D
San Martin de Tucuman	2-1 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 4 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Gimnasia Jujuy (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nueva Chicago

WLLLLWLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/10	Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	5	6	L
27/09	Almagro Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-0	3	8	W
22/09	Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B	0-1	1-1	2	3	D
12/09	CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-1	6	7	L
07/09	Quilmes Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
29/08	Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-2	6	7	L
22/08	CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-1	7	7	L
17/08	All Boys Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-1	5	7	L
09/08	Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
01/08	San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B	1-1	2-1	3	9	W

Gimnasia Jujuy

LWDDWWDDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B	0-0	2-2	8	3	D
03/10	Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B	1-2	1-2	7	5	L
28/09	San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B	0-2	2-2	11	3	D
20/09	Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-1	8	0	D
13/09	Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-1	1	6	W
06/09	Almagro Argentina Nacional B	1-1	2-1	9	5	W
01/09	Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-1	10	0	D
22/08	Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B	1-1	3-3	2	6	D
16/08	CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	10	3	W
10/08	Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B	0-2	0-2	11	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nueva Chicago vs Gimnasia Jujuy?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nueva Chicago win (41%). Probabilities: Nueva Chicago 41%, draw 31%, Gimnasia Jujuy 28%.

How many goals are expected in Nueva Chicago vs Gimnasia Jujuy?

The model expects 2.27 goals (Nueva Chicago 1.27 · Gimnasia Jujuy 1), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Nueva Chicago vs Gimnasia Jujuy?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.