Football · Argentina Nacional B · 17/10, 22:00

Prediction: Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Maipu

Team pages: Chacarita Juniors · Deportivo Maipu

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.02Total

Chacarita Juniors1.16

Deportivo Maipu0.86

1X2

42% 32% 26%

Chacarita Juniors Draw Deportivo Maipu

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Chacarita Juniors 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Deportivo Maipu 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Chacarita Juniors 4–1–1 Deportivo Maipu (6 last)

Deportivo Maipu3-2Chacarita Juniors
Deportivo Maipu0-2Chacarita Juniors
Chacarita Juniors2-0Deportivo Maipu
Chacarita Juniors2-1Deportivo Maipu
Deportivo Maipu0-2Chacarita Juniors
Deportivo Maipu1-1Chacarita Juniors

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chacarita Juniors 1432 · Deportivo Maipu 1544

	Chacarita Juniors	Draw	Deportivo Maipu
Our model	41%	33%	26%
Market	42%	32%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.02 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Maipu (rating 1432 vs 1544).
H2H favours Chacarita Juniors: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Chacarita Juniors	Deportivo Maipu
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.1	1.2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	0/80/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.9	2.6 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.5 / 0.5	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.20

X2.90

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 22.00

Under 21.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 1.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.5%

Time*	1	X	2
01:13 +3’	2.20	2.90	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Chacarita Juniors 4–1–1 Deportivo Maipu

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Argentina Nacional B	Deportivo Maipu	3-2 HT 0-0	Chacarita Juniors
23/06/24 Argentina Nacional B	Deportivo Maipu	0-2 HT 0-1	Chacarita Juniors
03/02/24 Argentina Nacional B	Chacarita Juniors	2-0 HT 2-0	Deportivo Maipu
02/07/23 Argentina Nacional B	Chacarita Juniors	2-1 HT 1-1	Deportivo Maipu
26/02/23 Argentina Nacional B	Deportivo Maipu	0-2 HT 0-1	Chacarita Juniors
17/04/22 Argentina Nacional B	Deportivo Maipu	1-1 HT 1-0	Chacarita Juniors

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tristan Suarez	33	15	14	4	32	15	59
2	CA Atlanta	33	18	4	11	39	30	58
3	Club Atletico Temperley	32	15	11	6	38	26	56
4	Gimnasia Jujuy	32	15	9	8	48	40	54
5	Ferrocarril Midland	33	14	9	10	38	26	51
6	Gimnasia y Tiro	32	13	9	10	32	28	48
7	Deportivo Maipu	32	13	8	11	39	31	47
8	CA Colegiales	33	13	8	12	32	31	47
9	San Martin SJ	32	12	9	11	34	32	45
10	San Martin de Tucuman	33	10	13	10	35	33	43
11	Atletico Rafaela	33	11	9	13	27	34	42
12	Almagro	33	11	8	14	30	39	41
13	Agropecuario	33	10	10	13	27	35	40
14	Quilmes	33	10	9	14	30	28	39
15	Nueva Chicago	32	9	9	14	23	30	36
16	Patronato Parana	32	6	16	10	27	32	34
17	Chacarita Juniors	33	9	6	18	25	35	33
18	CA Guemes	32	5	8	19	23	54	23

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chacarita Juniors	Deportivo Maipu
Almagro	1-2 L	2-2 D
Patronato Parana	1-0 W	0-0 D
CA Colegiales	1-2 L	0-1 L
Quilmes	3-0 W	1-0 W
Ferrocarril Midland	0-1 L	0-2 L
CA Atlanta	0-1 L	4-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Chacarita Juniors (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chacarita Juniors

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Almagro Argentina Nacional B	1-1	1-2	3	3	L
04/10	Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	9	7	W
27/09	CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B	1-2	1-2	5	9	L
20/09	Quilmes Argentina Nacional B	1-0	3-0	1	11	W
13/09	Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-1	2	5	L
05/09	CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-1	10	3	L
29/08	Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	7	7	L
23/08	San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-2	2	3	L
19/08	CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
16/08	CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-2	–	–	L

Deportivo Maipu

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/10	Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	2	6	W
27/09	Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	9	3	W
20/09	Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-1	5	0	D
12/09	Almagro Argentina Nacional B	2-2	2-2	2	2	D
06/09	Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
29/08	CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	3	6	L
23/08	Quilmes Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	3	7	W
15/08	Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B	0-1	2-1	5	3	W
08/08	Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-2	3	5	L
02/08	CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B	2-2	4-2	6	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Maipu?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Chacarita Juniors win (42%). Probabilities: Chacarita Juniors 42%, draw 32%, Deportivo Maipu 26%.

How many goals are expected in Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Maipu?

The model expects 2.02 goals (Chacarita Juniors 1.16 · Deportivo Maipu 0.86), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Maipu?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.