Football · Argentina Nacional B · 17/10, 22:00

Prediction: CA San Miguel vs Club Ciudad de Bolivar

Team pages: CA San Miguel · Club Ciudad de Bolivar

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2Total

CA San Miguel1.15

Club Ciudad de Bolivar0.85

1X2

41% 33% 26%

CA San Miguel Draw Club Ciudad de Bolivar

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 61% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

CA San Miguel 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLLDDLLD

Club Ciudad de Bolivar 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLLDWLDLWW

Head-to-head

CA San Miguel 0–1–0 Club Ciudad de Bolivar (1 last)

Club Ciudad de Bolivar1-1CA San Miguel

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA San Miguel 1431 · Club Ciudad de Bolivar 1482

	CA San Miguel	Draw	Club Ciudad de Bolivar
Our model	41%	33%	26%
Market	41%	33%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club Ciudad de Bolivar (rating 1431 vs 1482).
Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CA San Miguel	Club Ciudad de Bolivar
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.6	0.6 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.4	0.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	0/80/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4	1.8 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.1	5.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.25

X2.80

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.85

Under 1.751.95

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
01:13 +3’	2.25	2.80	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CA San Miguel 0–1–0 Club Ciudad de Bolivar

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Argentina Nacional B	Club Ciudad de Bolivar	1-1 HT 1-1	CA San Miguel

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ferro Carril Oeste	32	18	7	7	36	27	61
2	Deportivo Moron	33	17	7	9	51	34	58
3	Godoy Cruz	32	16	8	8	42	29	56
4	Deportivo Madryn	33	14	11	8	47	30	53
5	Colon	33	14	11	8	39	25	53
6	CA Estudiantes Caseros	33	13	9	11	31	27	48
7	Almirante Brown	33	12	11	10	26	22	47
8	Club Ciudad de Bolivar	32	11	12	9	27	28	45
9	Los Andes	32	9	13	10	25	23	40
10	CA Chaco For Ever	33	10	10	13	32	34	40
11	Defensores de Belgrano	33	8	13	12	25	32	37
12	CA San Telmo	32	9	10	13	28	36	37
13	Racing de Cordoba	32	9	10	13	29	39	37
14	Club Atletico Mitre	33	7	15	11	29	39	36
15	Central Norte	32	6	15	11	20	29	33
16	All Boys	32	6	15	11	18	28	33
17	Acassuso	33	8	8	17	25	35	32
18	CA San Miguel	33	6	14	13	26	39	32

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CA San Miguel	Club Ciudad de Bolivar
Almirante Brown	1-1 D	0-2 L
Club Atletico Mitre	0-2 L	0-2 L
CA Chaco For Ever	0-3 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CA San Miguel

WLLLLDDLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
03/10	Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-2	5	6	L
26/09	CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-2	2	5	L
19/09	All Boys Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
13/09	Los Andes Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
06/09	Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B	0-2	1-2	5	6	L
30/08	Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-2	3	7	L
26/08	CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-3	5	3	L
22/08	Colon Argentina Nacional B	0-1	1-2	4	5	L
15/08	CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-0	2	4	W

Club Ciudad de Bolivar

LLLDWLDLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Acassuso Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
26/09	CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B	0-0	2-1	3	6	W
19/09	Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-1	1	6	L
12/09	Central Norte Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	7	1	D
06/09	Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B	1-1	1-3	3	10	L
29/08	Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	5	7	W
23/08	Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B	1-1	1-1	5	6	D
15/08	Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	8	9	L
08/08	Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-2	5	5	L
02/08	Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-2	8	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA San Miguel vs Club Ciudad de Bolivar?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CA San Miguel win (41%). Probabilities: CA San Miguel 41%, draw 33%, Club Ciudad de Bolivar 26%.

How many goals are expected in CA San Miguel vs Club Ciudad de Bolivar?

The model expects 2 goals (CA San Miguel 1.15 · Club Ciudad de Bolivar 0.85), with a 52% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CA San Miguel vs Club Ciudad de Bolivar?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.