Football · Argentina Nacional B · 10/10, 22:00
Prediction: Quilmes vs Agropecuario
Team pages: Quilmes · Agropecuario
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.79Total
Quilmes1.28
Agropecuario0.51
1X2
Quilmes
Draw
Agropecuario
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
1-0 20%
Recent form · 10 last
Quilmes
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Agropecuario
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Quilmes
1–4–1
Agropecuario
(6 last)
- Agropecuario0-0Quilmes
- Quilmes1-0Agropecuario
- Agropecuario1-1Quilmes
- Quilmes1-1Agropecuario
- Agropecuario3-1Quilmes
- Quilmes0-0Agropecuario
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Quilmes 1495 · Agropecuario 1502
| Quilmes | Draw | Agropecuario | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 32% | 14% |
| Market | 57% | 27% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.79 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 79%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Quilmes | Agropecuario | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.2 | 0.2 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 4.9 | 2.6 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.3 | 4.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Quilmes 1–4–1 Agropecuario
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 Argentina Nacional B | Agropecuario | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Quilmes |
| 20/08/24 Argentina Nacional B | Quilmes | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Agropecuario |
| 29/03/24 Argentina Nacional B | Agropecuario | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Quilmes |
| 24/03/22 Argentina Nacional B | Quilmes | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Agropecuario |
| 28/08/21 Argentina Nacional B | Agropecuario | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Quilmes |
| 19/04/21 Argentina Nacional B | Quilmes | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Agropecuario |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 32 | 15 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 15 | 58 |
| 2 | Club Atletico Temperley | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 48 | 40 | 54 |
| 4 | CA Atlanta | 31 | 16 | 4 | 11 | 35 | 28 | 52 |
| 5 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 27 | 48 |
| 6 | Ferrocarril Midland | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 26 | 47 |
| 7 | San Martin SJ | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 33 | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 38 | 31 | 44 |
| 9 | CA Colegiales | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 31 | 43 |
| 10 | Atletico Rafaela | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 25 | 27 | 42 |
| 11 | San Martin de Tucuman | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 34 | 32 | 40 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 27 | 39 |
| 13 | Nueva Chicago | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 23 | 29 | 36 |
| 14 | Agropecuario | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 26 | 35 | 36 |
| 15 | Almagro | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 26 | 37 | 35 |
| 16 | Patronato Parana | 31 | 6 | 16 | 9 | 27 | 31 | 34 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 23 | 33 | 30 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 23 | 53 | 23 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Quilmes | Agropecuario |
|---|---|---|
| Tristan Suarez | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| CA Guemes | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Chacarita Juniors | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Gimnasia Jujuy | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Quilmes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 26/09 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 20/09 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 11 | L |
| 12/09 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 07/09 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 16/08 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 09/08 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 06/08 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Agropecuario
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 27/09 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 20/09 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 15 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 01/09 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | D |
| 22/08 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 10 | W |
| 08/08 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Quilmes vs Agropecuario?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Quilmes win (56%). Probabilities: Quilmes 56%, draw 29%, Agropecuario 15%.
How many goals are expected in Quilmes vs Agropecuario?
The model expects 1.79 goals (Quilmes 1.28 · Agropecuario 0.51), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Quilmes vs Agropecuario?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.