Football · Argentina Nacional B · 10/10, 22:00

Prediction: Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin SJ

Team pages: Deportivo Maipu · San Martin SJ

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.1Total

Deportivo Maipu1.05

San Martin SJ1.05

1X2

34% 33% 34%

Deportivo Maipu Draw San Martin SJ

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Maipu 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWWLDDDW

San Martin SJ 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DDWWWLDWLL

Head-to-head

Deportivo Maipu 1–1–3 San Martin SJ (5 last)

San Martin SJ2-1Deportivo Maipu
San Martin SJ1-0Deportivo Maipu
Deportivo Maipu0-2San Martin SJ
Deportivo Maipu1-0San Martin SJ
Deportivo Maipu2-2San Martin SJ

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Maipu 1517 · San Martin SJ 1508

	Deportivo Maipu	Draw	San Martin SJ
Our model	34%	33%	34%
Market	34%	33%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.1 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours San Martin SJ: 3-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Maipu	San Martin SJ
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1	1.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/80/20%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.2	1.9 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.2	3.9 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.75

X2.80

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.75

Under 1.752.05

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
X	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.4%

Time*	1	X	2
03:31 +2’	2.75	2.80	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Maipu 1–1–3 San Martin SJ

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Argentina Nacional B	San Martin SJ	2-1 HT 1-0	Deportivo Maipu
14/07/24 Argentina Nacional B	San Martin SJ	1-0 HT 1-0	Deportivo Maipu
24/02/24 Argentina Nacional B	Deportivo Maipu	0-2 HT 0-0	San Martin SJ
29/10/23 Argentina Nacional B	Deportivo Maipu	1-0 HT 1-0	San Martin SJ
29/05/22 Argentina Nacional B	Deportivo Maipu	2-2 HT 1-0	San Martin SJ

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tristan Suarez	32	15	13	4	32	15	58
2	Club Atletico Temperley	32	15	11	6	38	26	56
3	Gimnasia Jujuy	32	15	9	8	48	40	54
4	CA Atlanta	31	16	4	11	35	28	52
5	Gimnasia y Tiro	31	13	9	9	32	27	48
6	Ferrocarril Midland	31	13	8	10	34	26	47
7	San Martin SJ	31	12	9	10	33	30	45
8	Deportivo Maipu	31	12	8	11	38	31	44
9	CA Colegiales	31	12	7	12	31	31	43
10	Atletico Rafaela	31	11	9	11	25	27	42
11	San Martin de Tucuman	31	9	13	9	34	32	40
12	Quilmes	32	10	9	13	30	27	39
13	Nueva Chicago	31	9	9	13	23	29	36
14	Agropecuario	31	9	9	13	26	35	36
15	Almagro	31	9	8	14	26	37	35
16	Patronato Parana	31	6	16	9	27	31	34
17	Chacarita Juniors	31	8	6	17	23	33	30
18	CA Guemes	31	5	8	18	23	53	23

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Maipu	San Martin SJ
Almagro	2-2 D	1-2 L
Patronato Parana	0-0 D	0-3 L
CA Colegiales	0-1 L	2-0 W
Quilmes	1-0 W	0-1 L
Ferrocarril Midland	0-2 L	3-2 W
CA Atlanta	4-2 W	1-0 W
Gimnasia y Tiro	0-1 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Maipu (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Maipu

LWLWWLDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	9	3	W
20/09	Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-1	5	0	D
12/09	Almagro Argentina Nacional B	2-2	2-2	2	2	D
06/09	Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
29/08	CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	3	6	L
23/08	Quilmes Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	3	7	W
15/08	Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B	0-1	2-1	5	3	W
08/08	Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-2	3	5	L
02/08	CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B	2-2	4-2	6	5	W
26/07	Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	1	4	L

San Martin SJ

DDWWWLDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Almagro Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-2	9	3	L
27/09	Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B	0-2	0-3	3	6	L
20/09	CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-0	4	6	W
16/09	Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	9	2	D
12/09	Quilmes Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	2	9	L
06/09	Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B	1-0	3-2	4	3	W
30/08	CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	1	5	W
22/08	Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B	2-0	3-1	3	0	W
16/08	Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
09/08	San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-1	1	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin SJ?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Maipu win (34%). Probabilities: Deportivo Maipu 34%, draw 33%, San Martin SJ 34%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin SJ?

The model expects 2.1 goals (Deportivo Maipu 1.05 · San Martin SJ 1.05), with a 55% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin SJ?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.