Football · South Korea K League 1 · 10/10, 07:00

Prediction: FC Seoul vs Jeju SK

Team pages: FC Seoul · Jeju SK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.79Total

FC Seoul1.58

Jeju SK1.2

1X2

45% 27% 28%

FC Seoul Draw Jeju SK

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Seoul 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DDWWWWWLWL

Jeju SK 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DWWDLWDWDW

Head-to-head

FC Seoul 2–4 Jeju SK (6 last)

Jeju SK2-1FC Seoul
Jeju SK1-2FC Seoul
Jeju SK3-2FC Seoul
FC Seoul1-3Jeju SK
Jeju SK2-0FC Seoul
FC Seoul1-0Jeju SK

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Jeju SK: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Seoul	Jeju SK
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 0.8	1.6 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5	2 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.3	4.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.97

Under 2.751.87

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:59

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.62 → 1.62	Pinn 1.62
X	4.11 → 4.11	Pinn 4.11
2	5.18 → 5.18	Pinn 5.18

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.5%

Time*	1	X	2
19:13 +407’	1.62	4.11	5.18

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Seoul 2–0–4 Jeju SK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 South Korea K League 1	Jeju SK	2-1 HT 1-0	FC Seoul
15/03/26 South Korea K League 1	Jeju SK	1-2 HT 0-0	FC Seoul
23/07/25 South Korea K League 1	Jeju SK	3-2 HT 1-1	FC Seoul
31/05/25 South Korea K League 1	FC Seoul	1-3 HT 0-1	Jeju SK
15/02/25 South Korea K League 1	Jeju SK	2-0 HT 1-0	FC Seoul
16/08/24 South Korea K League 1	FC Seoul	1-0 HT 1-0	Jeju SK

Standings · South Korea K League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Seoul	30	19	5	6	56	25	62
2	Ulsan HD	30	14	5	11	45	40	47
3	Jeju SK	30	12	10	8	35	29	46
4	Jeonbuk Motors	30	11	11	8	38	28	44
5	Gangwon FC	30	10	13	7	36	28	43
6	Daejeon Hana Citizen	30	10	10	10	46	37	40
7	Pohang Steelers	30	11	7	12	28	34	40
8	Incheon Utd	30	10	9	11	36	33	39
9	FC Anyang	30	9	11	10	38	47	38
10	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	30	5	18	7	30	36	33
11	Bucheon	30	7	11	12	31	40	32
12	Gwangju FC	30	1	12	17	21	63	15

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Seoul	Jeju SK
Pohang Steelers	1-2 L	1-2 L
Jeonbuk Motors	2-1 W	3-1 W
Ulsan HD	0-1 L	0-0 D
Incheon Utd	1-0 W	3-3 D
Gwangju FC	5-2 W	1-0 W
Bucheon	1-0 W	2-2 D
FC Anyang	7-0 W	2-0 W
Daejeon Hana Citizen	4-2 W	3-1 W
Gimcheon Sangmu FC	0-0 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Seoul (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Seoul

DDWWWWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1	0-2	1-2	4	5	L
12/09	Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1	1-1	2-1	5	1	W
08/09	Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
05/09	Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
30/08	Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1	3-1	5-2	6	3	W
25/08	Bucheon South Korea K League 1	0-0	1-0	9	6	W
22/08	FC Anyang South Korea K League 1	5-0	7-0	3	5	W
15/08	Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1	0-1	4-2	5	6	W
08/08	Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
01/08	Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	5	4	D

Jeju SK

DWWDLWDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
12/09	Bucheon South Korea K League 1	2-1	2-2	4	4	D
09/09	Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
05/09	Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
30/08	Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1	1-0	3-1	3	3	W
25/08	Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1	0-1	1-2	4	2	L
22/08	Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	8	6	D
15/08	FC Anyang South Korea K League 1	1-0	2-0	1	5	W
08/08	Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1	1-0	3-1	3	3	W
02/08	Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1	2-2	3-3	5	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Seoul vs Jeju SK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Seoul win (45%). Probabilities: FC Seoul 45%, draw 27%, Jeju SK 28%.

How many goals are expected in FC Seoul vs Jeju SK?

The model expects 2.79 goals (FC Seoul 1.58 · Jeju SK 1.2), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Seoul vs Jeju SK?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.