Football · Argentina Nacional B · 10/10, 22:00

Prediction: Almirante Brown vs CA San Miguel

Team pages: Almirante Brown · CA San Miguel

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.11Total

Almirante Brown1.37

CA San Miguel0.74

1X2

51% 31% 19%

Almirante Brown Draw CA San Miguel

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Almirante Brown 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWLWWDDLLL

CA San Miguel 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLDDLL

Head-to-head

Almirante Brown 1–2–3 CA San Miguel (6 last)

CA San Miguel1-0Almirante Brown
Almirante Brown3-0CA San Miguel
Almirante Brown0-0CA San Miguel
CA San Miguel0-0Almirante Brown
Almirante Brown1-2CA San Miguel
CA San Miguel2-0Almirante Brown

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Almirante Brown 1488 · CA San Miguel 1433

	Almirante Brown	Draw	CA San Miguel
Our model	51%	30%	19%
Market	51%	31%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 2.11 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Almirante Brown (rating 1488 vs 1433).
H2H favours CA San Miguel: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Almirante Brown	CA San Miguel
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.8	0.8 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.3	1.9 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.4	4.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.00

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.82

2 (+0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.82

Under 1.751.98

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
02:33 +3’	1.83	3.00	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Almirante Brown 1–2–3 CA San Miguel

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Argentina Nacional B	CA San Miguel	1-0 HT 0-0	Almirante Brown
13/10/19 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Almirante Brown	3-0 HT 0-0	CA San Miguel
02/03/19 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Almirante Brown	0-0 HT 0-0	CA San Miguel
21/09/18 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	CA San Miguel	0-0 HT 0-0	Almirante Brown
03/03/18 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Almirante Brown	1-2 HT 1-0	CA San Miguel
08/10/17 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	CA San Miguel	2-0 HT 2-0	Almirante Brown

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ferro Carril Oeste	32	18	7	7	36	27	61
2	Deportivo Moron	32	17	7	8	51	32	58
3	Deportivo Madryn	32	14	11	7	46	28	53
4	Godoy Cruz	31	15	8	8	40	28	53
5	Colon	32	14	10	8	39	25	52
6	Almirante Brown	31	12	10	9	23	18	46
7	CA Estudiantes Caseros	32	12	9	11	29	27	45
8	Club Ciudad de Bolivar	32	11	12	9	27	28	45
9	Los Andes	31	9	13	9	24	21	40
10	CA Chaco For Ever	31	9	9	13	28	31	36
11	Defensores de Belgrano	31	8	12	11	23	27	36
12	Racing de Cordoba	31	9	9	13	28	38	36
13	Club Atletico Mitre	32	7	14	11	29	39	35
14	CA San Telmo	31	8	10	13	25	34	34
15	All Boys	32	6	15	11	18	28	33
16	Central Norte	31	6	14	11	19	28	32
17	CA San Miguel	32	6	13	13	25	38	31
18	Acassuso	32	7	8	17	22	35	29

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Almirante Brown	CA San Miguel
CA Chaco For Ever	0-1 L	0-3 L
Racing de Cordoba	2-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Almirante Brown (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Almirante Brown

WWLWWDDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B	1-2	2-3	9	3	L
26/09	Acassuso Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	4	8	L
20/09	CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-1	2	1	L
13/09	Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
06/09	Central Norte Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	7	7	D
30/08	Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
22/08	Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-0	2	2	W
16/08	Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B	0-2	1-3	5	4	L
08/08	Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B	0-0	2-0	4	5	W
02/08	Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-0	4	2	W

CA San Miguel

LWLLLLDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-2	5	6	L
26/09	CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-2	2	5	L
19/09	All Boys Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
13/09	Los Andes Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
06/09	Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B	0-2	1-2	5	6	L
30/08	Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-2	3	7	L
26/08	CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-3	5	3	L
22/08	Colon Argentina Nacional B	0-1	1-2	4	5	L
15/08	CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-0	2	4	W
09/08	Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	9	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Almirante Brown vs CA San Miguel?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Almirante Brown win (51%). Probabilities: Almirante Brown 51%, draw 31%, CA San Miguel 19%.

How many goals are expected in Almirante Brown vs CA San Miguel?

The model expects 2.11 goals (Almirante Brown 1.37 · CA San Miguel 0.74), with a 54% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Almirante Brown vs CA San Miguel?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.