Football · Argentina Nacional B · 10/10, 22:00
Prediction: Defensores de Belgrano vs Acassuso
Team pages: Defensores de Belgrano · Acassuso
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.95Total
Defensores de Belgrano1.34
Acassuso0.61
1X2
Defensores de Belgrano
Draw
Acassuso
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0 18%
Recent form · 10 last
Defensores de Belgrano
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Acassuso
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Defensores de Belgrano
2–3–1
Acassuso
(6 last)
- Acassuso1-0Defensores de Belgrano
- Acassuso0-0Defensores de Belgrano
- Defensores de Belgrano2-1Acassuso
- Acassuso0-0Defensores de Belgrano
- Defensores de Belgrano1-0Acassuso
- Defensores de Belgrano0-0Acassuso
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Defensores de Belgrano 1488 · Acassuso 1458
| Defensores de Belgrano | Draw | Acassuso | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 31% | 16% |
| Market | 55% | 29% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.95 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Defensores de Belgrano: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Defensores de Belgrano | Acassuso | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1 | 0.6 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 0/80/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.3 | 1.9 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0 | 5.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Defensores de Belgrano 2–3–1 Acassuso
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 Argentina Nacional B | Acassuso | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Defensores de Belgrano |
| 08/02/18 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Acassuso | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Defensores de Belgrano |
| 14/09/17 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Defensores de Belgrano | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Acassuso |
| 04/06/17 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Acassuso | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Defensores de Belgrano |
| 19/11/16 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Defensores de Belgrano | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Acassuso |
| 04/06/16 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Defensores de Belgrano | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Acassuso |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 27 | 61 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51 | 32 | 58 |
| 3 | Deportivo Madryn | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 46 | 28 | 53 |
| 4 | Godoy Cruz | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 40 | 28 | 53 |
| 5 | Colon | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 39 | 25 | 52 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 23 | 18 | 46 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 29 | 27 | 45 |
| 8 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 27 | 28 | 45 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 21 | 40 |
| 10 | CA Chaco For Ever | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 28 | 31 | 36 |
| 11 | Defensores de Belgrano | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 23 | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Racing de Cordoba | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 28 | 38 | 36 |
| 13 | Club Atletico Mitre | 32 | 7 | 14 | 11 | 29 | 39 | 35 |
| 14 | CA San Telmo | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 25 | 34 | 34 |
| 15 | All Boys | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 28 | 33 |
| 16 | Central Norte | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 28 | 32 |
| 17 | CA San Miguel | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 25 | 38 | 31 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 35 | 29 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Defensores de Belgrano | Acassuso |
|---|---|---|
| Los Andes | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Almirante Brown | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Club Atletico Mitre | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Acassuso (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Defensores de Belgrano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 27/09 | Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 20/09 | Central Norte Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 14/09 | Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 09/09 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 04/09 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 22/08 | Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 8 | L |
Acassuso
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 26/09 | Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 19/09 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 13/09 | CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 01/09 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 26/08 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 21/08 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 14/08 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 09/08 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
1-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Defensores de Belgrano vs Acassuso?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Defensores de Belgrano win (54%). Probabilities: Defensores de Belgrano 54%, draw 30%, Acassuso 16%.
How many goals are expected in Defensores de Belgrano vs Acassuso?
The model expects 1.95 goals (Defensores de Belgrano 1.34 · Acassuso 0.61), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Defensores de Belgrano vs Acassuso?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.