Football · Argentina Nacional B · 10/10, 22:00

Prediction: Central Norte vs Ferro Carril Oeste

Team pages: Central Norte · Ferro Carril Oeste

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.51Total

Central Norte0.67

Ferro Carril Oeste0.84

1X2

27% 36% 37%

Central Norte Draw Ferro Carril Oeste

Markets

Under 1.5 goals 51% Not both to score 57%

Most likely score

0-0 23%

Recent form · 10 last

Central Norte 2-7-1 (W-D-L)

WDDWDDDDLD

Ferro Carril Oeste 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWDDDWWL

Head-to-head

Central Norte 0–1 Ferro Carril Oeste (1 last)

Ferro Carril Oeste1-0Central Norte

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Central Norte 1496 · Ferro Carril Oeste 1535

	Central Norte	Draw	Ferro Carril Oeste
Our model	25%	39%	36%
Market	28%	34%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 1.51 goals · Bet365 line 1.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Central Norte	Ferro Carril Oeste
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 0.5	1.1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.1	2.9 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	4 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

13.30

X2.70

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 1.51.85

Under 1.51.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 1.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
X	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9%

Time*	1	X	2
01:42 +5’	3.30	2.70	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Central Norte 0–0–1 Ferro Carril Oeste

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Argentina Nacional B	Ferro Carril Oeste	1-0 HT 0-0	Central Norte

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ferro Carril Oeste	32	18	7	7	36	27	61
2	Deportivo Moron	32	17	7	8	51	32	58
3	Deportivo Madryn	32	14	11	7	46	28	53
4	Godoy Cruz	31	15	8	8	40	28	53
5	Colon	32	14	10	8	39	25	52
6	Almirante Brown	31	12	10	9	23	18	46
7	CA Estudiantes Caseros	32	12	9	11	29	27	45
8	Club Ciudad de Bolivar	32	11	12	9	27	28	45
9	Los Andes	31	9	13	9	24	21	40
10	CA Chaco For Ever	31	9	9	13	28	31	36
11	Defensores de Belgrano	31	8	12	11	23	27	36
12	Racing de Cordoba	31	9	9	13	28	38	36
13	Club Atletico Mitre	32	7	14	11	29	39	35
14	CA San Telmo	31	8	10	13	25	34	34
15	All Boys	32	6	15	11	18	28	33
16	Central Norte	31	6	14	11	19	28	32
17	CA San Miguel	32	6	13	13	25	38	31
18	Acassuso	32	7	8	17	22	35	29

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Central Norte	Ferro Carril Oeste
Deportivo Madryn	0-0 D	0-2 L
Defensores de Belgrano	0-1 L	1-0 W
Club Ciudad de Bolivar	0-0 D	1-0 W
Almirante Brown	0-0 D	0-0 D
Club Atletico Mitre	2-2 D	0-0 D
CA Estudiantes Caseros	2-1 W	2-2 D
All Boys	1-1 D	1-0 W
Los Andes	1-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 5 D 1 L	4 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Ferro Carril Oeste (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Central Norte

WDDWDDDDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
20/09	Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-1	9	3	L
12/09	Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
06/09	Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	6	7	D
30/08	Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B	0-2	2-2	5	2	D
27/08	Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
23/08	CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B	0-0	2-1	12	4	W
16/08	Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
10/08	All Boys Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-1	1	2	D
02/08	Los Andes Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-0	3	3	W

Ferro Carril Oeste

LWWWDDDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-2	5	8	L
27/09	Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-0	5	2	W
19/09	Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-0	7	6	W
13/09	Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
05/09	Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
30/08	CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B	0-1	2-2	6	6	D
25/08	All Boys Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	8	7	W
15/08	CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B	1-0	3-1	4	0	W
09/08	Los Andes Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-1	2	4	W
01/08	Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B	1-2	1-3	7	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Central Norte vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ferro Carril Oeste win (37%). Probabilities: Central Norte 27%, draw 36%, Ferro Carril Oeste 37%.

How many goals are expected in Central Norte vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

The model expects 1.51 goals (Central Norte 0.67 · Ferro Carril Oeste 0.84), with a 51% chance of under 1.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Central Norte vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

The model gives a 57% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.