Football · Argentina Nacional B · 10/10, 22:00
Prediction: Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors
Team pages: Almagro · Chacarita Juniors
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.85Total
Almagro0.92
Chacarita Juniors0.92
1X2
Almagro
Draw
Chacarita Juniors
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Almagro
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Chacarita Juniors
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Almagro
2–1–3
Chacarita Juniors
(6 last)
- Chacarita Juniors1-0Almagro
- Almagro1-3Chacarita Juniors
- Almagro0-2Chacarita Juniors
- Chacarita Juniors1-2Almagro
- Almagro0-0Chacarita Juniors
- Almagro1-0Chacarita Juniors
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Almagro 1459 · Chacarita Juniors 1463
| Almagro | Draw | Chacarita Juniors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 35% | 32% |
| Market | 34% | 33% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.85 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Chacarita Juniors: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Almagro | Chacarita Juniors | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.4 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/70/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.4 | 2.5 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.2 | 5.3 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Almagro 2–1–3 Chacarita Juniors
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 Argentina Nacional B | Chacarita Juniors | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Almagro |
| 02/04/22 Argentina Nacional B | Almagro | 1-3 HT 1-3 | Chacarita Juniors |
| 12/01/21 Argentina Nacional B | Almagro | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Chacarita Juniors |
| 17/03/20 Argentina Nacional B | Chacarita Juniors | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Almagro |
| 21/09/19 Argentina Nacional B | Almagro | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Chacarita Juniors |
| 28/08/18 Argentina Nacional B | Almagro | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Chacarita Juniors |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 32 | 15 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 15 | 58 |
| 2 | Club Atletico Temperley | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 48 | 40 | 54 |
| 4 | CA Atlanta | 31 | 16 | 4 | 11 | 35 | 28 | 52 |
| 5 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 27 | 48 |
| 6 | Ferrocarril Midland | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 26 | 47 |
| 7 | San Martin SJ | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 33 | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 38 | 31 | 44 |
| 9 | CA Colegiales | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 31 | 43 |
| 10 | Atletico Rafaela | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 25 | 27 | 42 |
| 11 | San Martin de Tucuman | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 34 | 32 | 40 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 27 | 39 |
| 13 | Nueva Chicago | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 23 | 29 | 36 |
| 14 | Agropecuario | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 26 | 35 | 36 |
| 15 | Almagro | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 26 | 37 | 35 |
| 16 | Patronato Parana | 31 | 6 | 16 | 9 | 27 | 31 | 34 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 23 | 33 | 30 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 23 | 53 | 23 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Almagro | Chacarita Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| Patronato Parana | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| CA Colegiales | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Quilmes | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Gimnasia y Tiro | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Chacarita Juniors (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Almagro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 27/09 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 19/09 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 12/09 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 30/08 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 22/08 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 05/08 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Chacarita Juniors
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 27/09 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 20/09 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 11 | W |
| 13/09 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 19/08 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 16/08 | CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 08/08 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors?
According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (34%). Probabilities: Almagro 33%, draw 34%, Chacarita Juniors 33%.
How many goals are expected in Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors?
The model expects 1.85 goals (Almagro 0.92 · Chacarita Juniors 0.92), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.