Football · South Korea K League 1 · 09/10, 09:30

Prediction: Incheon Utd vs Pohang Steelers

Team pages: Incheon Utd · Pohang Steelers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.07Total

Incheon Utd1.1

Pohang Steelers0.97

1X2

37% 33% 30%

Incheon Utd Draw Pohang Steelers

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Incheon Utd 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DDWLDLWLDD

Pohang Steelers 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLWLWDLDDW

Head-to-head

Incheon Utd 0–3–3 Pohang Steelers (6 last)

Incheon Utd0-1Pohang Steelers
Pohang Steelers1-1Incheon Utd
Pohang Steelers1-0Incheon Utd
Incheon Utd1-3Pohang Steelers
Pohang Steelers0-0Incheon Utd
Pohang Steelers1-1Incheon Utd

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Pohang Steelers: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Incheon Utd	Pohang Steelers
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.2	0.8 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/90/0%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.9	1.6 / 2.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.2	2.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 21.86

Under 21.98

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:33

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.31 → 2.31	Pinn 2.31
X	3.14 → 3.14	Pinn 3.14
2	3.35 → 3.35	Pinn 3.35

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5%

Time*	1	X	2
21:45 +228’	2.31	3.14	3.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Incheon Utd 0–3–3 Pohang Steelers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/05/26 South Korea K League 1	Incheon Utd	0-1 HT 0-1	Pohang Steelers
15/03/26 South Korea K League 1	Pohang Steelers	1-1 HT 0-1	Incheon Utd
27/09/24 South Korea K League 1	Pohang Steelers	1-0 HT 0-0	Incheon Utd
23/06/24 South Korea K League 1	Incheon Utd	1-3 HT 0-1	Pohang Steelers
28/04/24 South Korea K League 1	Pohang Steelers	0-0 HT 0-0	Incheon Utd
20/10/23 South Korea K League 1	Pohang Steelers	1-1 HT 0-1	Incheon Utd

Standings · South Korea K League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Seoul	30	19	5	6	56	25	62
2	Ulsan HD	30	14	5	11	45	40	47
3	Jeju SK	30	12	10	8	35	29	46
4	Jeonbuk Motors	30	11	11	8	38	28	44
5	Gangwon FC	30	10	13	7	36	28	43
6	Daejeon Hana Citizen	30	10	10	10	46	37	40
7	Pohang Steelers	30	11	7	12	28	34	40
8	Incheon Utd	30	10	9	11	36	33	39
9	FC Anyang	30	9	11	10	38	47	38
10	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	30	5	18	7	30	36	33
11	Bucheon	30	7	11	12	31	40	32
12	Gwangju FC	30	1	12	17	21	63	15

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Incheon Utd	Pohang Steelers
Gangwon FC	0-0 D	0-0 D
Daejeon Hana Citizen	1-1 D	2-2 D
Ulsan HD	1-2 L	0-2 L
Bucheon	2-1 W	0-3 L
FC Seoul	0-1 L	2-1 W
Jeonbuk Motors	1-1 D	0-2 L
Gwangju FC	1-0 W	2-1 W
Gimcheon Sangmu FC	1-1 D	0-0 D
Jeju SK	3-3 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 5 D 2 L	3 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Incheon Utd (3 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Incheon Utd

DDWLDLWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
20/09	Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1	1-0	1-1	1	2	D
12/09	Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1	0-0	1-2	9	0	L
08/09	Bucheon South Korea K League 1	1-1	2-1	5	2	W
05/09	FC Seoul South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
30/08	Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1	0-0	1-1	4	6	D
26/08	FC Anyang South Korea K League 1	1-1	1-2	3	8	L
23/08	Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
16/08	Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1	0-0	1-1	1	5	D
02/08	Jeju SK South Korea K League 1	2-2	3-3	5	5	D

Pohang Steelers

LLWLWDLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	FC Seoul South Korea K League 1	2-0	2-1	3	5	W
12/09	Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1	0-0	2-2	1	3	D
09/09	Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
05/09	Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-2	3	3	L
30/08	Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
25/08	Jeju SK South Korea K League 1	1-0	2-1	3	2	W
22/08	Bucheon South Korea K League 1	0-2	0-3	6	2	L
15/08	Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1	1-0	2-1	1	2	W
08/08	Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-2	1	2	L
01/08	Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-1	3	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Incheon Utd vs Pohang Steelers?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Incheon Utd win (37%). Probabilities: Incheon Utd 37%, draw 33%, Pohang Steelers 30%.

How many goals are expected in Incheon Utd vs Pohang Steelers?

The model expects 2.07 goals (Incheon Utd 1.1 · Pohang Steelers 0.97), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Incheon Utd vs Pohang Steelers?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.