Football · Chile Primera Division Women · 09/08, 20:30

Prediction: Union Espanola (W) vs Deportes Temuco (W)

Team pages: Union Espanola (W) · Deportes Temuco (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.28Total

Union Espanola (W)2.64

Deportes Temuco (W)0.64

1X2

81% 13% 6%

Union Espanola (W) Draw Deportes Temuco (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

Union Espanola (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDWWWWLDLL

Deportes Temuco (W) 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLWLLLL

Head-to-head

Union Espanola (W) 1–0 Deportes Temuco (W) (1 last)

Deportes Temuco (W)0-1Union Espanola (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Union Espanola (W) 1492 · Deportes Temuco (W) 1391

	Union Espanola (W)	Draw	Deportes Temuco (W)
Our model	79%	15%	6%
Market	82%	12%	6%

Estimated total (ours) 3.28 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Union Espanola (W) (rating 1492 vs 1391).
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Union Espanola (W)	Deportes Temuco (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.2	0.9 / 3.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.7 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/56/22%	33/11/56%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.6	1.9 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	2.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.13

X7.50

215.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.25)1.90

2 (+2.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.13 → 1.13	Bet365 1.13
X	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50
2	15.00 → 15.00	Bet365 15.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.9%

Time*	1	X	2
15:03 +6’	1.13	7.50	15.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Espanola (W) 1–0–0 Deportes Temuco (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/06/26 Chile Primera Division Women	Deportes Temuco (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Union Espanola (W)

Standings · Chile Primera Division Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Colo Colo (W)	18	17	1	0	69	2	52
2	Universidad Catolica (W)	19	16	0	3	44	10	48
3	Universidad de Chile (W)	18	13	3	2	54	18	42
4	Coquimbo Unido (W)	18	10	4	4	32	15	34
5	Union Espanola (W)	17	7	4	6	17	19	25
6	Huachipato (W)	16	6	4	6	18	27	22
7	Palestino (W)	17	5	5	7	22	28	20
8	Deportes Iquique (W)	16	6	2	8	24	23	20
9	Santiago Wanderers (W)	18	4	5	9	13	25	17
10	Magallanes (W)	19	5	2	12	17	45	17
11	Universidad de Concepcion (W)	18	4	3	11	12	32	15
12	Deportes Temuco (W)	18	2	1	15	15	51	7
13	Deportes Recoleta (W)	16	2	0	14	16	58	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Union Espanola (W)	Deportes Temuco (W)
Santiago Wanderers (W)	0-0 D	0-1 L
Magallanes (W)	3-0 W	2-3 L
Universidad de Concepcion (W)	1-0 W	0-1 L
Huachipato (W)	1-1 D	2-3 L
Palestino (W)	0-2 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Union Espanola (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Union Espanola (W)

LDWWWWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-3	0-4	4	4	L
25/07	Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	0-2	0	2	L
11/07	Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	0-0	11	1	D
08/07	Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
27/06	Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	3-0	5	2	W
19/06	Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
13/06	Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	1-0	6	0	W
30/05	Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women	3-1	5-2	8	5	W
23/05	Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women	–	1-1	–	–	D
17/05	Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-1	0-2	1	1	L

Deportes Temuco (W)

LLLLLWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/07	Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-1	0-2	0	2	L
24/07	Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-0	2-3	6	3	L
11/07	Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women	2-0	2-3	1	2	L
08/07	Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women	–	0-1	–	–	L
03/07	Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women	3-1	3-2	3	2	W
27/06	Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-2	1-6	2	0	L
19/06	Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-1	0-1	2	7	L
14/06	Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-4	1-7	1	2	L
29/05	Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	0-1	9	5	L
24/05	Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-3	0-5	7	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Union Espanola (W) vs Deportes Temuco (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Union Espanola (W) win (81%). Probabilities: Union Espanola (W) 81%, draw 13%, Deportes Temuco (W) 6%.

How many goals are expected in Union Espanola (W) vs Deportes Temuco (W)?

The model expects 3.28 goals (Union Espanola (W) 2.64 · Deportes Temuco (W) 0.64), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Union Espanola (W) vs Deportes Temuco (W)?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.