Prediction: HPS vs Reipas
Expected goals: 3.68 (HPS 1.9 · Reipas 1.78). The model gives 41% home, 23% draw, 36% away. Over 3.5 goals (50%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, HPS sits at 5-2-3 (W-D-L), while Reipas arrives on a 5-1-4 run. In their only recent head-to-head meeting, HPS won 0 and Reipas 0, with 1 draw.
| HPS | Draw | Reipas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 23% | 36% |
| Market | 41% | 24% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| HPS | Reipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.4 | 2.2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.5 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.2 | 2 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0 | 4.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · HPS 0–1–0 Reipas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/26 Finland Kakkonen Group A | Reipas | 2-2 HT 2-2 | HPS |
Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group A · Kakkonen 2026, Group A
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kiffen | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 18 | 22 |
| 2 | HIFK 2 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 12 | 20 |
| 3 | PEPO | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 19 |
| 4 | HPS | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 17 |
| 5 | PPJ | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 22 | 14 | 16 |
| 6 | Reipas | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 16 |
| 7 | Atlantis | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 13 |
| 8 | MyPa | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 8 |
| 9 | Puiu | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 8 |
| 10 | Union Plaani | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 2 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | HPS | Reipas |
|---|---|---|
| Puiu | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Kiffen | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Union Plaani | 2-0 W | 4-2 W |
| PPJ | 2-2 D | 0-3 L |
| HIFK 2 | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Atlantis | 4-3 W | 1-0 W |
| MyPa | 3-1 W | 5-0 W |
| PEPO | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 2 L | 4 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: HPS (2 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
HPS
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 12/06 | Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 06/06 | Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 22/05 | HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 10 | W |
| 16/05 | Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A |
4-1 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 02/05 | PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 28/04 | IFK Mariehamn Finland Cup |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 24/04 | Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A |
2-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
Reipas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A |
1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A |
1-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 04/06 | PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A |
4-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 08/05 | Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A |
3-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 24/04 | HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A |
2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in HPS vs Reipas?
According to our model, the most likely result is a HPS win (41%). Probabilities: HPS 41%, draw 23%, Reipas 36%.
How many goals are expected in HPS vs Reipas?
The model expects 3.68 goals (HPS 1.9 · Reipas 1.78), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in HPS vs Reipas?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.