Prediction: Atlantis vs PEPO

Expected goals: 3.92 (Atlantis 2.03 · PEPO 1.88). The model gives 42% home, 22% draw, 36% away. Over 3.75 goals (50%) and both teams to score (62%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Over its last 10 matches, Atlantis sits at 4-2-4 (W-D-L), while PEPO arrives on a 5-3-2 run. In the last 4 head-to-head meetings the record reads 0 wins for Atlantis and 3 for PEPO, with 1 draw.

42%1
42% 22% 36%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atlantis 1509 · PEPO 1534
AtlantisDrawPEPO
Our model42%22%36%
Market42%22%36%
Estimated total (ours) 3.92 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.92Atlantis 2.03 · PEPO 1.88
Over / Under 3.75Over 3.75 · 50%
BTTSYes · 62%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours PEPO: 3-1-0.
  • High corners: 13.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AtlantisPEPO
Goals for / against (FT)2.9 / 2.31.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)1.7 / 1.40.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3.1 / 63.6 / 7.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.14.2 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Atlantis 013 PEPO

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
25/04/26
Finland Kakkonen Group A
PEPO4-1
HT 2-1
Atlantis
11/02/24
Europe Friendlies
PEPO3-2
HT 2-1
Atlantis
15/08/21
Finland Kakkonen Group A
PEPO4-1
HT 1-1
Atlantis
01/06/21
Finland Kakkonen Group A
Atlantis1-1
HT 1-0
PEPO

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group A · Kakkonen 2026, Group A

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Kiffen 11713 241822
2 HIFK 2 10622 211220
3 PEPO 10541 171119
4 HPS 10523 201517
5 PPJ 11371 221416
6 Reipas 10514 221716
7 Atlantis 10415 262213
8 MyPa 10226 10198
9 Puiu 10226 9228
10 Union Plaani 10028 9302

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAtlantisPEPO
MyPa 2-1 W 0-0 D
PPJ 3-3 D 2-2 D
HIFK 2 3-2 W 1-2 L
Reipas 0-1 L 2-1 W
Puiu 8-0 W 2-1 W
HPS 3-4 L 2-1 W
Union Plaani 5-1 W 1-1 D
Kiffen 1-4 L 2-1 W
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 3 L 4 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Atlantis (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atlantis

LDLWLWLWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 MyPa
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-1 2-1 86 W
11/06 PPJ
Finland Kakkonen Group A
2-3 3-3 75 D
06/06 HIFK 2
Finland Kakkonen Group A
2-2 3-2 41 W
31/05 Reipas
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-0 0-1 44 L
22/05 Puiu
Finland Kakkonen Group A
6-0 8-0 76 W
16/05 HPS
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-4 3-4 L
08/05 Union Plaani
Finland Kakkonen Group A
3-0 5-1 71 W
02/05 Kiffen
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-1 1-4 54 L
28/04 FC Honka
Finland Cup
1-1 3-3 82 D
25/04 PEPO
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-2 1-4 42 L

PEPO

WWWLWDDWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 PPJ
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-1 2-2 55 D
13/06 HIFK 2
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-0 1-2 95 L
04/06 Reipas
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-1 2-1 73 W
29/05 MyPa
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-0 0-0 104 D
23/05 Union Plaani
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-1 1-1 114 D
16/05 Puiu
Finland Kakkonen Group A
2-1 2-1 W
12/05 SJK
Finland Cup
0-2 0-3 34 L
09/05 Kiffen
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-0 2-1 106 W
02/05 HPS
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-0 2-1 65 W
28/04 JJK
Finland Cup
1-0 2-1 72 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atlantis vs PEPO?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Atlantis win (42%). Probabilities: Atlantis 42%, draw 22%, PEPO 36%.

How many goals are expected in Atlantis vs PEPO?

The model expects 3.92 goals (Atlantis 2.03 · PEPO 1.88), with a 50% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Atlantis vs PEPO?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.