Football · Finland Kakkonen Group C · 08/08, 16:00

Prediction: TP-47 vs Narpes Kraft

Team pages: TP-47 · Narpes Kraft

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.02Total

TP-472.12

Narpes Kraft1.9

1X2

43% 23% 34%

TP-47 Draw Narpes Kraft

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

TP-47 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

DWDLLLDLLL

Narpes Kraft 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLWLWLLW

Head-to-head

TP-47 4–1–1 Narpes Kraft (6 last)

Narpes Kraft1-2TP-47
Narpes Kraft1-2TP-47
TP-471-0Narpes Kraft
TP-471-3Narpes Kraft
TP-473-1Narpes Kraft
Narpes Kraft2-2TP-47

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TP-47 1442 · Narpes Kraft 1490

	TP-47	Draw	Narpes Kraft
Our model	43%	22%	35%
Market	43%	23%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 4.02 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Narpes Kraft (rating 1442 vs 1490).
H2H favours TP-47: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	TP-47	Narpes Kraft
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.3	2.8 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	1.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 3.7	2.6 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.2	3.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.90

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.82

Under 3.751.98

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 4.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
07:42 +42’	2.10	3.90	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · TP-47 4–1–1 Narpes Kraft

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	Narpes Kraft	1-2 HT 1-1	TP-47
09/08/25 Finland Kakkonen Group C	Narpes Kraft	1-2 HT 1-0	TP-47
08/06/25 Finland Kakkonen Group C	TP-47	1-0 HT 1-0	Narpes Kraft
14/09/24 Finland Kakkonen Group C	TP-47	1-3 HT 1-0	Narpes Kraft
04/08/24 Finland Kakkonen Group C	TP-47	3-1 HT 1-1	Narpes Kraft
02/06/24 Finland Kakkonen Group C	Narpes Kraft	2-2 HT 1-0	TP-47

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group C · Kakkonen 2026, Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	GBK	15	9	1	5	38	28	28
2	Huima/Urho	15	8	3	4	38	23	27
3	FF Jaro II	15	8	1	6	29	42	25
4	VPS-J	15	6	4	5	41	28	22
5	Narpes Kraft	15	7	1	7	46	38	22
6	JBK	15	7	1	7	29	23	22
7	TP-47	15	4	5	6	22	28	17
8	FC Vaajakoski	15	5	2	8	28	37	17
9	JS Hercules	15	5	2	8	25	36	17
10	SJK Akatemia II	15	5	2	8	23	36	17

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TP-47	Narpes Kraft
Huima/Urho	0-4 L	1-3 L
JS Hercules	0-1 L	3-2 W
FF Jaro II	0-2 L	8-0 W
SJK Akatemia II	0-0 D	4-0 W
GBK	3-4 L	2-6 L
VPS-J	0-3 L	3-2 W
FC Vaajakoski	2-3 L	2-3 L
JBK	1-1 D	2-4 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 6 L	4 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Narpes Kraft (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TP-47

DWDLLLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-4	4	4	L
23/07	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-1	5	7	L
18/07	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-2	3	1	L
12/07	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-0	0	4	D
04/07	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-1	3-4	–	–	L
27/06	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	0-3	6	2	L
14/06	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-2	2-3	1	7	L
06/06	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	1-1	4	5	D
31/05	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	2-1	2	0	W
23/05	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-3	4-4	8	4	D

Narpes Kraft

WLWLWLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-1	3-2	6	5	W
26/07	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-2	2-3	9	4	L
15/07	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-2	2-6	3	4	L
12/07	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	3-2	7	4	W
07/07	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	2-4	7	5	L
04/07	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	4-0	8-0	3	1	W
14/06	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	1-3	8	5	L
06/06	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	3-0	4-0	1	4	W
31/05	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	1-2	2	0	L
23/05	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	2-1	9	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TP-47 vs Narpes Kraft?

According to our model, the most likely result is a TP-47 win (43%). Probabilities: TP-47 43%, draw 23%, Narpes Kraft 34%.

How many goals are expected in TP-47 vs Narpes Kraft?

The model expects 4.02 goals (TP-47 2.12 · Narpes Kraft 1.9), with a 52% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in TP-47 vs Narpes Kraft?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.