Football · Finland Kakkonen Group C · 08/08, 17:30

Prediction: FC Vaajakoski vs VPS-J

Team pages: FC Vaajakoski · VPS-J

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.19Total

FC Vaajakoski1.94

VPS-J2.25

1X2

33% 22% 45%

FC Vaajakoski Draw VPS-J

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

FC Vaajakoski 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDWWLDWLWL

VPS-J 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LDWLWWLWLW

Head-to-head

FC Vaajakoski 2–1–0 VPS-J (3 last)

VPS-J2-2FC Vaajakoski
FC Vaajakoski2-1VPS-J
VPS-J0-2FC Vaajakoski

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Vaajakoski 1513 · VPS-J 1527

	FC Vaajakoski	Draw	VPS-J
Our model	34%	21%	45%
Market	33%	22%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 4.19 goals · Bet365 line 4.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Vaajakoski: 2-1-0.
High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Vaajakoski	VPS-J
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 2	3 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.3	1.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.9	3.6 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.2	3.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.70

X4.10

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.95

2 (-0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 4.252.00

Under 4.251.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 4.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
08:28 +2’	2.70	4.10	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Vaajakoski 2–1–0 VPS-J

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	VPS-J	2-2 HT 2-0	FC Vaajakoski
03/08/19 Finland Kakkonen Group C	FC Vaajakoski	2-1 HT 1-0	VPS-J
26/05/19 Finland Kakkonen Group C	VPS-J	0-2 HT 0-0	FC Vaajakoski

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group C · Kakkonen 2026, Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	GBK	15	9	1	5	38	28	28
2	Huima/Urho	15	8	3	4	38	23	27
3	FF Jaro II	15	8	1	6	29	42	25
4	VPS-J	15	6	4	5	41	28	22
5	Narpes Kraft	15	7	1	7	46	38	22
6	JBK	15	7	1	7	29	23	22
7	TP-47	15	4	5	6	22	28	17
8	FC Vaajakoski	15	5	2	8	28	37	17
9	JS Hercules	15	5	2	8	25	36	17
10	SJK Akatemia II	15	5	2	8	23	36	17

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Vaajakoski	VPS-J
JBK	0-4 L	0-2 L
Narpes Kraft	3-2 W	2-3 L
Huima/Urho	0-1 L	3-1 W
FF Jaro II	5-2 W	5-0 W
JS Hercules	2-2 D	5-1 W
SJK Akatemia II	0-3 L	6-2 W
TP-47	3-2 W	3-0 W
GBK	1-0 W	3-4 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	5 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: VPS-J (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Vaajakoski

WDWWLDWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-3	0-4	5	3	L
26/07	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-2	3-2	6	4	W
17/07	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
12/07	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	3-1	5-2	6	3	W
04/07	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	2-2	5	2	D
30/06	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	0-3	6	3	L
14/06	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-1	3-2	13	7	W
06/06	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	1-0	10	3	W
27/05	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	2-2	2	3	D
23/05	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	3-2	3	3	W

VPS-J

LDWLWWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/08	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	5-0	4	0	W
25/07	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	0-2	8	9	L
19/07	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	3-2	6-2	6	7	W
12/07	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	2-3	8	4	L
05/07	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	3-1	6	4	W
27/06	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	3-0	4	2	W
14/06	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	3-4	4	1	L
05/06	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	5-1	5	4	W
27/05	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	2-2	8	3	D
21/05	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Vaajakoski vs VPS-J?

According to our model, the most likely result is an VPS-J win (45%). Probabilities: FC Vaajakoski 33%, draw 22%, VPS-J 45%.

How many goals are expected in FC Vaajakoski vs VPS-J?

The model expects 4.19 goals (FC Vaajakoski 1.94 · VPS-J 2.25), with a 53% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Vaajakoski vs VPS-J?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.