Football · Finland Kakkonen Group C · 07/08, 17:30

Prediction: FF Jaro II vs JBK

Team pages: FF Jaro II · JBK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.1Total

FF Jaro II2

JBK2.11

1X2

37% 22% 41%

FF Jaro II Draw JBK

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FF Jaro II 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WWLWLLLWDL

JBK 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLDWLWLLWW

Head-to-head

FF Jaro II 1–0 JBK (1 last)

JBK0-3FF Jaro II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FF Jaro II 1472 · JBK 1500

	FF Jaro II	Draw	JBK
Our model	37%	22%	41%
Market	37%	22%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 4.1 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FF Jaro II	JBK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 3.1	2.1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.6	1.2 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.7	2.7 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.2	4.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.45

X4.00

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 41.98

Under 41.82

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 4.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
08:10 +1’	2.45	4.00	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FF Jaro II 1–0–0 JBK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group C	JBK	0-3 HT 0-2	FF Jaro II

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group C · Kakkonen 2026, Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	GBK	15	9	1	5	38	28	28
2	Huima/Urho	15	8	3	4	38	23	27
3	FF Jaro II	15	8	1	6	29	42	25
4	VPS-J	15	6	4	5	41	28	22
5	Narpes Kraft	15	7	1	7	46	38	22
6	JBK	15	7	1	7	29	23	22
7	TP-47	15	4	5	6	22	28	17
8	FC Vaajakoski	15	5	2	8	28	37	17
9	JS Hercules	15	5	2	8	25	36	17
10	SJK Akatemia II	15	5	2	8	23	36	17

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FF Jaro II	JBK
VPS-J	0-5 L	2-0 W
GBK	1-1 D	0-2 L
TP-47	2-0 W	1-1 D
FC Vaajakoski	2-5 L	4-0 W
SJK Akatemia II	2-3 L	3-0 W
Narpes Kraft	0-8 L	4-2 W
JS Hercules	2-1 W	3-5 L
Huima/Urho	1-7 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	4 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: JBK (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FF Jaro II

WWLWLLLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/08	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	0-5	3	0	L
22/07	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
18/07	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-0	2-0	2	1	W
12/07	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-3	2-5	4	3	L
08/07	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-2	2-3	7	6	L
04/07	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-4	0-8	6	1	L
14/06	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-1	2-1	7	4	W
06/06	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-3	1-7	3	2	L
29/05	JBK Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	3-0	6	5	W
21/05	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	2-1	–	–	W

JBK

LLDWLWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	3-0	4-0	7	3	W
25/07	VPS-J Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-0	2-0	1	9	W
18/07	JS Hercules Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-3	3-5	5	3	L
10/07	GBK Finland Kakkonen Group B	0-2	0-2	6	6	L
07/07	Narpes Kraft Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	4-2	8	5	W
27/06	Huima/Urho Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-2	2-3	–	–	L
12/06	SJK Akatemia II Finland Kakkonen Group C	2-0	3-0	5	5	W
06/06	TP-47 Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	1-1	3	5	D
29/05	FF Jaro II Finland Kakkonen Group C	0-2	0-3	3	5	L
23/05	FC Vaajakoski Finland Kakkonen Group C	1-1	2-3	3	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FF Jaro II vs JBK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an JBK win (41%). Probabilities: FF Jaro II 37%, draw 22%, JBK 41%.

How many goals are expected in FF Jaro II vs JBK?

The model expects 4.1 goals (FF Jaro II 2 · JBK 2.11), with a 52% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in FF Jaro II vs JBK?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.