Football · Finland Kakkonen Group A · 02/07, 18:00

Prediction: PPJ vs Kiffen

Expected goals: 3.52 (PPJ 1.82 · Kiffen 1.7). The model gives 41% home, 24% draw, 36% away. Over 3.25 goals (53%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Recent form leaves PPJ with 3 wins, 6 draws and 1 losses over 10 games; Kiffen has piled up 6-1-3 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, PPJ won 3 and Kiffen 3.

41%1
41% 24% 36%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · PPJ 1541 · Kiffen 1536
PPJDrawKiffen
Our model40%24%36%
Market41%24%36%
Estimated total (ours) 3.52 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.52PPJ 1.82 · Kiffen 1.7
Over / Under 3.25Over 3.25 · 53%
BTTSYes · 60%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

PPJKiffen
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 1.22.2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)1.2 / 0.61 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/50/10%60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.6 / 62.7 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 04.7 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · PPJ 303 Kiffen

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/04/26
Finland Kakkonen Group A
Kiffen0-4
HT 0-3
PPJ
16/08/25
Finland Kakkonen Group B
PPJ4-1
HT 1-1
Kiffen
13/06/25
Finland Kakkonen Group B
Kiffen2-0
HT 1-0
PPJ
07/03/25
Europe Friendlies
PPJ2-3
HT 2-1
Kiffen
02/08/24
Finland Kakkonen Group A
PPJ2-1
HT 0-1
Kiffen
31/05/24
Finland Kakkonen Group A
Kiffen3-2
HT 3-1
PPJ

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group A · Kakkonen 2026, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 HIFK 2 10622 211220
2 PEPO 10541 171119
3 Kiffen 10613 221719
4 HPS 10523 201517
5 PPJ 10370 211216
6 Reipas 10514 221716
7 Atlantis 10415 262213
8 MyPa 10226 10198
9 Puiu 10226 9228
10 Union Plaani 10028 9302

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPPJKiffen
PEPO 2-2 D 1-2 L
Atlantis 3-3 D 4-1 W
MyPa 3-1 W 3-1 W
HPS 2-2 D 2-1 W
Reipas 3-0 W 3-2 W
Union Plaani 2-2 D 2-0 W
HIFK 2 1-1 D 3-3 D
Puiu 0-0 D 2-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 6 D 0 L 6 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Kiffen (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

PPJ

WLDDDWDWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 PEPO
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-1 2-2 25 D
11/06 Atlantis
Finland Kakkonen Group A
3-2 3-3 65 D
06/06 MyPa
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-1 3-1 39 W
31/05 HPS
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-0 2-2 45 D
22/05 Reipas
Finland Kakkonen Group A
2-0 3-0 103 W
16/05 Union Plaani
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-1 2-2 84 D
09/05 HIFK 2
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-1 1-1 73 D
03/05 Puiu
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-0 0-0 62 D
29/04 HJS
Finland Cup
0-0 0-1 92 L
25/04 Kiffen
Finland Kakkonen Group A
3-0 4-0 52 W

Kiffen

LLWLDWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Reipas
Finland Kakkonen Group A
2-1 3-2 54 W
12/06 HPS
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-0 2-1 85 W
08/06 Puiu
Finland Kakkonen Group A
2-0 2-0 85 W
29/05 Union Plaani
Finland Kakkonen Group A
2-0 2-0 84 W
23/05 MyPa
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-0 3-1 45 W
18/05 HIFK 2
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-1 3-3 78 D
09/05 PEPO
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-0 1-2 46 L
02/05 Atlantis
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-0 4-1 34 W
25/04 PPJ
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-3 0-4 42 L
19/04 Reipas
Finland Kakkonen Group A
2-1 2-3 34 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in PPJ vs Kiffen?

According to our model, the most likely result is a PPJ win (41%). Probabilities: PPJ 41%, draw 24%, Kiffen 36%.

How many goals are expected in PPJ vs Kiffen?

The model expects 3.52 goals (PPJ 1.82 · Kiffen 1.7), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in PPJ vs Kiffen?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.