Prediction: Union Plaani vs Puiu

Expected goals: 3.28 (Union Plaani 1.53 · Puiu 1.75). The model gives 33% home, 24% draw, 43% away. Under 3.5 goals (54%) and both teams to score (58%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Recent form leaves Union Plaani with 0 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses over 10 games; Puiu has piled up 0-3-7 in the same span. In their only recent head-to-head meeting, Union Plaani won 0 and Puiu 1.

43%2
33% 24% 43%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Union Plaani 1391 · Puiu 1415
Union PlaaniDrawPuiu
Our model33%25%42%
Market33%24%43%
Estimated total (ours) 3.28 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.28Union Plaani 1.53 · Puiu 1.75
Over / Under 3.5Under 3.5 · 54%
BTTSYes · 58%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Union PlaaniPuiu
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 2.90.4 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 10.3 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 4.42.6 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 04.2 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Plaani 001 Puiu

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/04/26
Finland Kakkonen Group A
Puiu3-1
HT 1-0
Union Plaani

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group A · Kakkonen 2026, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Kiffen 11713 241822
2 HIFK 2 10622 211220
3 PEPO 10541 171119
4 HPS 10523 201517
5 PPJ 11371 221416
6 Reipas 10514 221716
7 Atlantis 10415 262213
8 MyPa 10226 10198
9 Puiu 10226 9228
10 Union Plaani 10028 9302

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUnion PlaaniPuiu
HIFK 2 0-3 L 0-2 L
Reipas 2-4 L 1-3 L
HPS 0-2 L 0-2 L
Kiffen 0-2 L 0-2 L
PEPO 1-1 D 1-2 L
PPJ 2-2 D 0-0 D
Atlantis 1-5 L 0-8 L
MyPa 1-3 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 6 L 0 W 2 D 6 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Union Plaani

LLLLDDLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 HIFK 2
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-2 0-3 L
13/06 Reipas
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-1 2-4 L
06/06 HPS
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-0 0-2 94 L
29/05 Kiffen
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-2 0-2 44 L
23/05 PEPO
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-0 1-1 34 D
16/05 PPJ
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-0 2-2 64 D
08/05 Atlantis
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-3 1-5 11 L
02/05 MyPa
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-0 1-3 L
28/04 FC Lahti
Finland Cup
1-1 2-4 43 L
25/04 Puiu
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-1 1-3 45 L

Puiu

DDLLLLLLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 HPS
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-1 0-2 83 L
13/06 MyPa
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-0 1-1 64 D
08/06 Kiffen
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-2 0-2 65 L
29/05 HIFK 2
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-0 0-2 28 L
22/05 Atlantis
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-6 0-8 26 L
16/05 PEPO
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-2 1-2 L
13/05 IFK Mariehamn
Finland Cup
0-1 0-3 61 L
08/05 Reipas
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-3 1-3 95 L
03/05 PPJ
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-0 0-0 52 D
29/04 IF Gnistan M35
Finland Cup
1-0 1-1 95 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Union Plaani vs Puiu?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Puiu win (43%). Probabilities: Union Plaani 33%, draw 24%, Puiu 43%.

How many goals are expected in Union Plaani vs Puiu?

The model expects 3.28 goals (Union Plaani 1.53 · Puiu 1.75), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Union Plaani vs Puiu?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.