Football · Australia Western Australia Premier League · 01/08, 09:00
Prediction: Balcatta vs Armadale
Team pages: Balcatta · Armadale
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.8Total
Balcatta1.78
Armadale2.02
1X2
Balcatta
Draw
Armadale
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Balcatta
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Armadale
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Balcatta
3–3
Armadale
(6 last)
- Armadale5-0Balcatta
- Balcatta3-0Armadale
- Armadale2-1Balcatta
- Armadale4-1Balcatta
- Armadale1-3Balcatta
- Balcatta1-0Armadale
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Balcatta 1477 · Armadale 1485
| Balcatta | Draw | Armadale | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 23% | 43% |
| Market | 33% | 24% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.8 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Balcatta | Armadale | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 2 | 1.5 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.2 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.4 | 3.3 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.1 | 1.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Balcatta 3–0–3 Armadale
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Armadale | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Balcatta |
| 05/07/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Balcatta | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Armadale |
| 05/04/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Armadale | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Balcatta |
| 25/01/25 Australia Friendlies | Armadale | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Balcatta |
| 20/08/24 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Armadale | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Balcatta |
| 25/05/24 Australia Western Australia Premier League | Balcatta | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Armadale |
Standings · Australia Western Australia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olympic Kingsway | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 39 |
| 2 | Perth RedStar FC | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 23 | 38 |
| 3 | Bayswater City | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 23 | 37 |
| 4 | Fremantle City FC | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 38 | 27 | 31 |
| 5 | Perth SC | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 43 | 36 | 31 |
| 6 | Stirling Macedonia | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 24 |
| 7 | Western Knights | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 35 | 35 | 23 |
| 8 | Dianella White Eagles | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 38 | 20 |
| 9 | Sorrento | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 31 | 20 |
| 10 | Perth Glory NPL | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 38 | 17 |
| 11 | Armadale | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 48 | 17 |
| 12 | Balcatta | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 49 | 15 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Balcatta | Armadale |
|---|---|---|
| Perth RedStar FC | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Stirling Macedonia | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Perth Glory NPL | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Olympic Kingsway | 4-5 L | 1-6 L |
| Perth SC | 1-1 D | 1-4 L |
| Fremantle City FC | 2-5 L | 2-1 W |
| Sorrento | 0-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Dianella White Eagles | 3-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Balcatta (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Balcatta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Perth RedStar FC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | Stirling Macedonia Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 04/07 | Perth Glory NPL Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Olympic Kingsway Australia Western Australia Premier League |
2-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 20/06 | Perth SC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 13/06 | Fremantle City FC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-3 | 2-5 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 06/06 | Sorrento Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Stirling Macedonia Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 16/05 | Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
Armadale
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Stirling Macedonia Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/07 | Perth Glory NPL Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 04/07 | Olympic Kingsway Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-2 | 1-6 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | Perth SC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 20/06 | Sorrento Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Bayswater City Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-5 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 06/06 | Fremantle City FC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Perth Glory NPL Australia Western Australia Premier League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 16/05 | Perth RedStar FC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Balcatta vs Armadale?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Armadale win (43%). Probabilities: Balcatta 34%, draw 23%, Armadale 43%.
How many goals are expected in Balcatta vs Armadale?
The model expects 3.8 goals (Balcatta 1.78 · Armadale 2.02), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Balcatta vs Armadale?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.