Football · Australia Western Australia Premier League · 01/08, 09:00

Prediction: Sorrento vs Perth RedStar FC

Team pages: Sorrento · Perth RedStar FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.75Total

Sorrento0.93

Perth RedStar FC1.83

1X2

18% 24% 58%

Sorrento Draw Perth RedStar FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Sorrento 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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Perth RedStar FC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Sorrento 2–1–3 Perth RedStar FC (6 last)

Perth RedStar FC4-1Sorrento
Perth RedStar FC1-0Sorrento
Sorrento0-1Perth RedStar FC
Sorrento2-0Perth RedStar FC
Sorrento1-1Perth RedStar FC
Perth RedStar FC1-2Sorrento

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sorrento 1419 · Perth RedStar FC 1539

	Sorrento	Draw	Perth RedStar FC
Our model	18%	25%	57%
Market	19%	22%	59%

Estimated total (ours) 2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Perth RedStar FC (rating 1419 vs 1539).
H2H favours Perth RedStar FC: 3-1-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sorrento	Perth RedStar FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.1	1.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 2.3	3 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.1	1.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.75

X4.00

21.53

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.82

2 (-1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
07:55 +15’	4.75	4.00	1.53

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sorrento 2–1–3 Perth RedStar FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/05/26 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Perth RedStar FC	4-1 HT 2-0	Sorrento
23/08/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Perth RedStar FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Sorrento
24/05/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Sorrento	0-1 HT 0-0	Perth RedStar FC
02/02/25 Australia Friendlies	Sorrento	2-0 HT 1-0	Perth RedStar FC
12/06/24 Australia FFA Cup Qualifying	Sorrento	1-1 HT 0-1	Perth RedStar FC
24/06/23 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Perth RedStar FC	1-2 HT 1-2	Sorrento

Standings · Australia Western Australia Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Olympic Kingsway	19	12	3	4	42	26	39
2	Perth RedStar FC	19	11	5	3	29	23	38
3	Bayswater City	18	11	4	3	44	23	37
4	Fremantle City FC	19	8	7	4	38	27	31
5	Perth SC	19	8	7	4	43	36	31
6	Stirling Macedonia	19	7	3	9	33	30	24
7	Western Knights	19	6	5	8	35	35	23
8	Dianella White Eagles	19	5	5	9	28	38	20
9	Sorrento	18	6	2	10	18	31	20
10	Perth Glory NPL	19	4	5	10	34	38	17
11	Armadale	19	4	5	10	34	48	17
12	Balcatta	19	4	3	12	26	49	15

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sorrento	Perth RedStar FC
Fremantle City FC	0-2 L	0-3 L
Western Knights	0-2 L	2-1 W
Stirling Macedonia	1-0 W	1-0 W
Balcatta	3-0 W	0-0 D
Bayswater City	1-2 L	0-3 L
Olympic Kingsway	1-4 L	2-1 W
Perth SC	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 5 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Sorrento

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	Fremantle City FC Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-2	0-2	0	0	L
04/07	Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
27/06	Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-0	1-2	1	4	L
20/06	Armadale Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	0-3	4	2	L
13/06	Stirling Macedonia Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-0	1-0	2	3	W
06/06	Balcatta Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-0	3-0	3	3	W
30/05	Bayswater City Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	1-2	6	3	L
23/05	Olympic Kingsway Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-1	1-4	1	3	L
16/05	Perth SC Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-1	1-2	2	4	L
08/05	Perth RedStar FC Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-2	1-4	2	3	L

Perth RedStar FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Balcatta Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	0-0	11	1	D
18/07	Fremantle City FC Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-2	0-3	5	0	L
11/07	Olympic Kingsway Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-1	2-1	3	1	W
04/07	Stirling Macedonia Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	1-0	7	0	W
26/06	Bayswater City Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	0-3	5	1	L
20/06	Perth Glory NPL Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-1	2-1	9	5	W
16/06	Bayswater City Australia Cup Qualifying	2-0	2-3	7	1	L
06/06	Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	2-1	10	1	W
30/05	Fremantle City FC Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-0	2-2	2	2	D
22/05	Perth SC Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-1	1-1	4	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sorrento vs Perth RedStar FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Perth RedStar FC win (58%). Probabilities: Sorrento 18%, draw 24%, Perth RedStar FC 58%.

How many goals are expected in Sorrento vs Perth RedStar FC?

The model expects 2.75 goals (Sorrento 0.93 · Perth RedStar FC 1.83), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sorrento vs Perth RedStar FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.