Football · Australia Western Australia Premier League · 01/08, 09:00

Prediction: Fremantle City FC vs Perth SC

Team pages: Fremantle City FC · Perth SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.75Total

Fremantle City FC1.75

Perth SC1.99

1X2

33% 24% 43%

Fremantle City FC Draw Perth SC

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Fremantle City FC 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

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Perth SC 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Fremantle City FC 1–2–3 Perth SC (6 last)

Perth SC1-1Fremantle City FC
Fremantle City FC0-5Perth SC
Perth SC2-1Fremantle City FC
Perth SC2-0Fremantle City FC
Fremantle City FC4-3Perth SC
Perth SC2-2Fremantle City FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fremantle City FC 1592 · Perth SC 1539

	Fremantle City FC	Draw	Perth SC
Our model	34%	23%	43%
Market	33%	24%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.75 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fremantle City FC (rating 1592 vs 1539).
H2H favours Perth SC: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fremantle City FC	Perth SC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 0.9	2.4 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.5	1.3 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.4	3.5 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.5 / 0	3.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.75

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.90

Under 3.51.90

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 15:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Pinn 2.80
X	3.75 → 3.75	Pinn 3.92 ★
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
07:22 +48’	2.70	3.75	2.10
13:14 +3’	2.38▼	3.70▼	2.38▲
14:06 +10’	2.20▼	3.70	2.55▲
15:12 +3’	2.70▲	3.75▲	2.10▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:16	2.80	3.92	2.09

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Fremantle City FC 1–2–3 Perth SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/05/26 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Perth SC	1-1 HT 0-1	Fremantle City FC
21/06/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Fremantle City FC	0-5 HT 0-2	Perth SC
21/03/25 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Perth SC	2-1 HT 1-0	Fremantle City FC
16/08/24 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Perth SC	2-0 HT 1-0	Fremantle City FC
25/05/24 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Fremantle City FC	4-3 HT 2-0	Perth SC
09/02/24 Australia Friendlies	Perth SC	2-2 HT 1-1	Fremantle City FC

Standings · Australia Western Australia Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Olympic Kingsway	19	12	3	4	42	26	39
2	Perth RedStar FC	19	11	5	3	29	23	38
3	Bayswater City	18	11	4	3	44	23	37
4	Fremantle City FC	19	8	7	4	38	27	31
5	Perth SC	19	8	7	4	43	36	31
6	Stirling Macedonia	19	7	3	9	33	30	24
7	Western Knights	19	6	5	8	35	35	23
8	Dianella White Eagles	19	5	5	9	28	38	20
9	Sorrento	18	6	2	10	18	31	20
10	Perth Glory NPL	19	4	5	10	34	38	17
11	Armadale	19	4	5	10	34	48	17
12	Balcatta	19	4	3	12	26	49	15

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fremantle City FC	Perth SC
Perth RedStar FC	3-0 W	1-1 D
Sorrento	2-0 W	2-1 W
Bayswater City	1-1 D	0-2 L
Western Knights	3-0 W	3-3 D
Dianella White Eagles	1-0 W	2-2 D
Balcatta	5-2 W	1-1 D
Armadale	1-2 L	4-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Fremantle City FC (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Fremantle City FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/07	Maitland FC Australia Cup	0-0	2-1	1	1	W
18/07	Perth RedStar FC Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-0	3-0	2	0	W
11/07	Sorrento Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-0	2-0	0	0	W
04/07	Bayswater City Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-0	1-1	11	0	D
27/06	Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	3-0	7	5	W
20/06	Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
16/06	Olympic Kingsway Australia Cup Qualifying	1-1	3-1	6	1	W
13/06	Balcatta Australia Western Australia Premier League	3-1	5-2	4	2	W
06/06	Armadale Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-1	1-2	4	2	L
30/05	Perth RedStar FC Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-2	2-2	6	2	D

Perth SC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Bayswater City Australia Western Australia Premier League	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
17/07	Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-0	3-3	6	3	D
04/07	Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-2	2-2	5	4	D
27/06	Armadale Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-0	4-1	3	5	W
20/06	Balcatta Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-0	1-1	8	4	D
13/06	Perth Glory NPL Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-2	4-2	4	0	W
05/06	Stirling Macedonia Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-3	3-3	7	9	D
30/05	Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League	2-2	4-3	8	3	W
22/05	Perth RedStar FC Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
16/05	Sorrento Australia Western Australia Premier League	1-0	2-1	8	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fremantle City FC vs Perth SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Perth SC win (43%). Probabilities: Fremantle City FC 33%, draw 24%, Perth SC 43%.

How many goals are expected in Fremantle City FC vs Perth SC?

The model expects 3.75 goals (Fremantle City FC 1.75 · Perth SC 1.99), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Fremantle City FC vs Perth SC?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.