Football · South Korea K3 League · 31/10, 06:00

Prediction: Dangjin Citizen FC vs Siheung City AC

Team pages: Dangjin Citizen FC · Siheung City AC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.25Total

Dangjin Citizen FC1.39

Siheung City AC1.86

1X2

27% 25% 47%

Dangjin Citizen FC Draw Siheung City AC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Dangjin Citizen FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWDWWLLWLW

Siheung City AC 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WDLLWWWWWL

Head-to-head

Dangjin Citizen FC 0–1–4 Siheung City AC (5 last)

Siheung City AC1-0Dangjin Citizen FC
Siheung City AC2-1Dangjin Citizen FC
Dangjin Citizen FC1-1Siheung City AC
Siheung City AC2-1Dangjin Citizen FC
Siheung City AC4-0Dangjin Citizen FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dangjin Citizen FC 1531 · Siheung City AC 1551

	Dangjin Citizen FC	Draw	Siheung City AC
Our model	28%	25%	48%
Market	27%	26%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Siheung City AC: 4-1-0.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dangjin Citizen FC	Siheung City AC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 1.7	1.8 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.7	1.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.5	2.1 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.4	3.5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

13.30

X3.50

21.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.82

2 (-0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 1 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.55
2	1.90 → 1.90	Pinn 2.04 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 8.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:04 +6’	3.30	3.50	1.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:13 +4’	3.55	3.42	1.88
15:10 +11’	3.20▼	3.55▲	2.04▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dangjin Citizen FC 0–1–4 Siheung City AC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
27/05/26 South Korea K3/K4 Championship	Siheung City AC	1-0 HT 1-0	Dangjin Citizen FC
23/05/26 South Korea K3 League	Siheung City AC	2-1 HT 2-1	Dangjin Citizen FC
25/09/22 South Korea K3 League	Dangjin Citizen FC	1-1 HT 0-1	Siheung City AC
21/05/22 South Korea K3 League	Siheung City AC	2-1 HT 1-0	Dangjin Citizen FC
12/09/21 South Korea K4 League	Siheung City AC	4-0 HT 2-0	Dangjin Citizen FC

Standings · South Korea K3 League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Siheung City AC	24	17	4	3	38	22	55
2	Pocheon Citizen FC	24	14	7	3	41	20	49
3	Daejeon Korail	24	12	5	7	33	19	41
4	Busan Trans Corp	24	11	7	6	42	30	40
5	Gyeongju HNP	24	9	9	6	36	32	36
6	Dangjin Citizen FC	24	10	4	10	47	39	34
7	Chuncheon FC	24	9	6	9	42	37	33
8	Gangneung City	24	8	6	10	23	33	30
9	Changwon City	24	7	8	9	27	31	29
10	Ulsan Citizen FC	24	8	4	12	25	28	28
11	Yeoju	24	7	7	10	27	31	28
12	Mokpo City	24	5	10	9	23	37	25
13	Yangpyeong FC	24	4	8	12	30	46	20
14	Jeonbuk Motors II	24	1	7	16	25	54	10

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dangjin Citizen FC	Siheung City AC
Daejeon Korail	1-0 W	2-0 W
Gyeongju HNP	2-3 L	0-1 L
Busan Trans Corp	5-3 W	0-2 L
Chuncheon FC	3-4 L	3-2 W
Jeonbuk Motors II	2-0 W	1-1 D
Pocheon Citizen FC	1-1 D	3-2 W
Gangneung City	5-2 W	1-2 L
Ulsan Citizen FC	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Siheung City AC (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dangjin Citizen FC

DWDWWLLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
04/10	Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League	1-2	2-3	6	7	L
13/09	Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League	3-2	5-3	3	1	W
29/08	Chuncheon FC South Korea K3 League	1-0	3-4	8	1	L
22/08	Yeoju South Korea K3 League	1-0	1-2	5	4	L
25/07	Mokpo City South Korea K3 League	2-1	6-1	3	4	W
18/07	Jeonbuk Motors II South Korea K3 League	1-0	2-0	8	3	W
11/07	Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	1-0	1-1	7	2	D
28/06	Gangneung City South Korea K3 League	3-1	5-2	2	1	W
20/06	Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	1-1	1-1	6	5	D

Siheung City AC

WDLLWWWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Gangneung City South Korea K3 League	1-2	1-2	5	4	L
03/10	Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	1-0	2-1	0	8	W
13/09	Changwon City South Korea K3 League	3-1	3-1	4	3	W
06/09	Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3 League	2-0	3-1	5	2	W
30/08	Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	3-0	3-2	6	5	W
23/08	Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League	1-0	2-0	8	7	W
25/07	Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
11/07	Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League	0-2	0-2	9	0	L
27/06	Jeonbuk Motors II South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-1	7	3	D
20/06	Chuncheon FC South Korea K3 League	2-2	3-2	4	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dangjin Citizen FC vs Siheung City AC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Siheung City AC win (47%). Probabilities: Dangjin Citizen FC 27%, draw 25%, Siheung City AC 47%.

How many goals are expected in Dangjin Citizen FC vs Siheung City AC?

The model expects 3.25 goals (Dangjin Citizen FC 1.39 · Siheung City AC 1.86), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Dangjin Citizen FC vs Siheung City AC?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.