Football · South Korea K3 League · 31/10, 06:00

Prediction: Chuncheon FC vs Busan Trans Corp

Team pages: Chuncheon FC · Busan Trans Corp

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.26Total

Chuncheon FC1.65

Busan Trans Corp1.61

1X2

38% 26% 36%

Chuncheon FC Draw Busan Trans Corp

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Chuncheon FC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LDDWLWWWDW

Busan Trans Corp 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWLDLWLW

Head-to-head

Chuncheon FC 4–1–1 Busan Trans Corp (6 last)

Busan Trans Corp2-3Chuncheon FC
Chuncheon FC0-3Busan Trans Corp
Busan Trans Corp0-1Chuncheon FC
Chuncheon FC2-2Busan Trans Corp
Busan Trans Corp0-1Chuncheon FC
Chuncheon FC1-0Busan Trans Corp

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chuncheon FC 1531 · Busan Trans Corp 1528

	Chuncheon FC	Draw	Busan Trans Corp
Our model	38%	25%	36%
Market	38%	26%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.26 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Chuncheon FC: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Chuncheon FC	Busan Trans Corp
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.5	1.9 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	1.2 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.5	1.3 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	3.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.38

X3.40

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 1 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.50 → 2.50	Pinn 3.00 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 8.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:07 +3’	2.38	3.40	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:01 +16’	2.21	3.35	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Chuncheon FC 4–1–1 Busan Trans Corp

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 South Korea K3 League	Busan Trans Corp	2-3 HT 2-1	Chuncheon FC
02/11/25 South Korea K3 League	Chuncheon FC	0-3 HT 0-2	Busan Trans Corp
21/06/25 South Korea K3 League	Busan Trans Corp	0-1 HT 0-1	Chuncheon FC
28/06/24 South Korea K3 League	Chuncheon FC	2-2 HT 1-0	Busan Trans Corp
03/03/24 South Korea K3 League	Busan Trans Corp	0-1 HT 0-1	Chuncheon FC
24/06/23 South Korea K3 League	Chuncheon FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Busan Trans Corp

Standings · South Korea K3 League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Siheung City AC	24	17	4	3	38	22	55
2	Pocheon Citizen FC	24	14	7	3	41	20	49
3	Daejeon Korail	24	12	5	7	33	19	41
4	Busan Trans Corp	24	11	7	6	42	30	40
5	Gyeongju HNP	24	9	9	6	36	32	36
6	Dangjin Citizen FC	24	10	4	10	47	39	34
7	Chuncheon FC	24	9	6	9	42	37	33
8	Gangneung City	24	8	6	10	23	33	30
9	Changwon City	24	7	8	9	27	31	29
10	Ulsan Citizen FC	24	8	4	12	25	28	28
11	Yeoju	24	7	7	10	27	31	28
12	Mokpo City	24	5	10	9	23	37	25
13	Yangpyeong FC	24	4	8	12	30	46	20
14	Jeonbuk Motors II	24	1	7	16	25	54	10

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chuncheon FC	Busan Trans Corp
Pocheon Citizen FC	0-0 D	1-0 W
Yeoju	2-1 W	2-1 W
Mokpo City	1-0 W	1-3 L
Dangjin Citizen FC	4-3 W	3-5 L
Gangneung City	0-1 L	1-1 D
Ulsan Citizen FC	2-1 W	1-2 L
Changwon City	1-1 D	4-3 W
Yangpyeong FC	3-3 D	4-2 W
Siheung City AC	2-3 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 2 L	5 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Busan Trans Corp (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chuncheon FC

LDDWLWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Jeonbuk Motors II South Korea K3 League	1-0	3-2	12	3	W
03/10	Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
12/09	Yeoju South Korea K3 League	0-0	2-1	6	3	W
06/09	Mokpo City South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-0	1	2	W
29/08	Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-1	4-3	5	1	W
23/08	Gangneung City South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
26/07	Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	1-0	2-1	3	7	W
12/07	Changwon City South Korea K3 League	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
27/06	Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3 League	1-0	3-3	2	6	D
20/06	Siheung City AC South Korea K3 League	2-2	2-3	2	2	L

Busan Trans Corp

LWWWLDLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Yeoju South Korea K3 League	2-0	2-1	3	4	W
04/10	Mokpo City South Korea K3 League	1-2	1-3	5	3	L
19/09	Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
13/09	Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	2-3	3-5	7	1	L
06/09	Gangneung City South Korea K3 League	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
30/08	Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-1	1-2	4	4	L
22/08	Changwon City South Korea K3 League	3-0	4-3	2	5	W
26/07	Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3 League	1-2	4-2	4	7	W
11/07	Siheung City AC South Korea K3 League	2-0	2-0	1	0	W
28/06	Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League	0-1	0-1	7	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chuncheon FC vs Busan Trans Corp?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Chuncheon FC win (38%). Probabilities: Chuncheon FC 38%, draw 26%, Busan Trans Corp 36%.

How many goals are expected in Chuncheon FC vs Busan Trans Corp?

The model expects 3.26 goals (Chuncheon FC 1.65 · Busan Trans Corp 1.61), with a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Chuncheon FC vs Busan Trans Corp?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.