Football · South Korea K3 League · 31/10, 06:00

Prediction: Gangneung City vs Yangpyeong FC

Team pages: Gangneung City · Yangpyeong FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.11Total

Gangneung City1.68

Yangpyeong FC1.43

1X2

42% 27% 31%

Gangneung City Draw Yangpyeong FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Gangneung City 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLLDWWDLLW

Yangpyeong FC 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LDWLDLLLLW

Head-to-head

Gangneung City 2–2–2 Yangpyeong FC (6 last)

Yangpyeong FC0-1Gangneung City
Gangneung City3-1Yangpyeong FC
Yangpyeong FC2-1Gangneung City
Gangneung City0-0Yangpyeong FC
Yangpyeong FC1-1Gangneung City
Yangpyeong FC1-0Gangneung City

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gangneung City 1488 · Yangpyeong FC 1428

	Gangneung City	Draw	Yangpyeong FC
Our model	43%	26%	32%
Market	42%	27%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.11 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gangneung City (rating 1488 vs 1428).
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gangneung City	Yangpyeong FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.7	1.9 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4.3	2.1 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.2	4.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.30

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.95

Diff.: 1.35 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.05▼	Pinn 2.08
X	3.30 → 3.40▲	Bet365 3.40
2	2.90 → 3.10▲	Pinn 3.36 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.5% Pinnacle margin 8.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:03 +7’	2.15	3.30	2.90
14:10 +6’	2.05▼	3.40▲	3.10▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:01 +15’	2.10	3.25	3.32
14:48 +33’	2.08▼	3.27▲	3.36▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Gangneung City 2–2–2 Yangpyeong FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 South Korea K3 League	Yangpyeong FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Gangneung City
06/07/25 South Korea K3 League	Gangneung City	3-1 HT 2-0	Yangpyeong FC
01/03/25 South Korea K3 League	Yangpyeong FC	2-1 HT 1-1	Gangneung City
28/07/24 South Korea K3 League	Gangneung City	0-0 HT 0-0	Yangpyeong FC
14/04/24 South Korea K3 League	Yangpyeong FC	1-1 HT 1-1	Gangneung City
12/08/23 South Korea K3 League	Yangpyeong FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Gangneung City

Standings · South Korea K3 League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Siheung City AC	24	17	4	3	38	22	55
2	Pocheon Citizen FC	24	14	7	3	41	20	49
3	Daejeon Korail	24	12	5	7	33	19	41
4	Busan Trans Corp	24	11	7	6	42	30	40
5	Gyeongju HNP	24	9	9	6	36	32	36
6	Dangjin Citizen FC	24	10	4	10	47	39	34
7	Chuncheon FC	24	9	6	9	42	37	33
8	Gangneung City	24	8	6	10	23	33	30
9	Changwon City	24	7	8	9	27	31	29
10	Ulsan Citizen FC	24	8	4	12	25	28	28
11	Yeoju	24	7	7	10	27	31	28
12	Mokpo City	24	5	10	9	23	37	25
13	Yangpyeong FC	24	4	8	12	30	46	20
14	Jeonbuk Motors II	24	1	7	16	25	54	10

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gangneung City	Yangpyeong FC
Siheung City AC	2-1 W	1-3 L
Daejeon Korail	1-2 L	1-2 L
Gyeongju HNP	0-1 L	3-3 D
Busan Trans Corp	1-1 D	2-4 L
Jeonbuk Motors II	2-1 W	5-2 W
Chuncheon FC	1-0 W	3-3 D
Yeoju	1-1 D	1-2 L
Pocheon Citizen FC	1-3 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Gangneung City (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gangneung City

LLLDWWDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Siheung City AC South Korea K3 League	2-1	2-1	2	4	W
02/10	Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League	0-1	1-2	6	5	L
12/09	Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
06/09	Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League	0-1	1-1	10	3	D
29/08	Jeonbuk Motors II South Korea K3 League	1-0	2-1	2	5	W
23/08	Chuncheon FC South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-0	1	3	W
25/07	Yeoju South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-1	6	4	D
11/07	Mokpo City South Korea K3 League	0-1	1-2	6	3	L
28/06	Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	1-3	2-5	6	1	L
21/06	Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-1	1-3	3	4	L

Yangpyeong FC

LDWLDLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-1	2-1	1	3	W
03/10	Changwon City South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-2	4	1	L
13/09	Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-1	0-2	5	5	L
06/09	Siheung City AC South Korea K3 League	0-2	1-3	8	2	L
29/08	Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-2	2	4	L
22/08	Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League	0-2	3-3	5	3	D
26/07	Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League	2-1	2-4	2	7	L
12/07	Jeonbuk Motors II South Korea K3 League	2-1	5-2	4	5	W
27/06	Chuncheon FC South Korea K3 League	0-1	3-3	2	6	D
20/06	Yeoju South Korea K3 League	1-0	1-2	8	9	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gangneung City vs Yangpyeong FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gangneung City win (42%). Probabilities: Gangneung City 42%, draw 27%, Yangpyeong FC 31%.

How many goals are expected in Gangneung City vs Yangpyeong FC?

The model expects 3.11 goals (Gangneung City 1.68 · Yangpyeong FC 1.43), with a 59% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Gangneung City vs Yangpyeong FC?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.