Prediction: Dalian Young Boy vs Wuhan Three Towns
Expected goals: 2.76 (Dalian Young Boy 1.74 · Wuhan Three Towns 1.02). The model gives 53% home, 26% draw, 21% away. Under 2.75 goals (52%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Dalian Young Boy with 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses over 10 games; Wuhan Three Towns has piled up 0-7-3 in the same span. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Dalian Young Boy won 0 and Wuhan Three Towns 1, with 2 draws.
| Dalian Young Boy | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 26% | 21% |
| Market | 53% | 26% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wuhan Three Towns (rating 1436 vs 1478).
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dalian Young Boy | Wuhan Three Towns | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.9 | 1.2 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.7 / 7.3 | 2.5 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.2 | 4.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dalian Young Boy 0–2–1 Wuhan Three Towns
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/26 China Super League | Wuhan Three Towns | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Dalian Young Boy |
| 19/10/25 China Super League | Dalian Young Boy | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 11/05/25 China Super League | Wuhan Three Towns | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Dalian Young Boy |
Standings · China Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 15 | 40 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 27 |
| 3 | Dalian Young Boy | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 29 | 22 |
| 4 | Shandong Taishan | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 26 | 21 |
| 5 | Yunnan Yukun | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 21 |
| 6 | Qingdao West Coast | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 20 | 24 | 21 |
| 7 | Beijing Guoan | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 18 |
| 8 | Zhejiang | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 26 | 17 |
| 9 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 28 | 17 |
| 10 | Liaoning Ironman | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 28 | 17 |
| 11 | Shanghai Shenhua | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 25 | 16 |
| 12 | Shanghai Port | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 15 |
| 13 | Henan | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 20 | 15 |
| 14 | Qingdao Hainiu | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 27 | 13 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 31 | 8 |
| 16 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 22 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dalian Young Boy | Wuhan Three Towns |
|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Shenhua | 1-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Qingdao West Coast | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Qingdao Hainiu | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Beijing Guoan | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Yunnan Yukun | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 6 L | 0 W 4 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Wuhan Three Towns (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dalian Young Boy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 19/06 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China FA Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 19/05 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 15/05 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 06/05 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 01/05 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 13 | 3 | L |
Wuhan Three Towns
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Qingdao Red Lions China FA Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | D |
| 31/05 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 9 | D |
| 24/05 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 20/05 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 16/05 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 06/05 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 25/04 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dalian Young Boy vs Wuhan Three Towns?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Dalian Young Boy win (53%). Probabilities: Dalian Young Boy 53%, draw 26%, Wuhan Three Towns 21%.
How many goals are expected in Dalian Young Boy vs Wuhan Three Towns?
The model expects 2.76 goals (Dalian Young Boy 1.74 · Wuhan Three Towns 1.02), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Dalian Young Boy vs Wuhan Three Towns?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.