Football · China Super League · 25/07, 11:30
Prediction: Qingdao Hainiu vs Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.7Total
Qingdao Hainiu1.37
Tianjin Jinmen Tigers1.34
1X2
Qingdao Hainiu
Draw
Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Qingdao Hainiu
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Qingdao Hainiu
2–1–3
Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tianjin Jinmen Tigers (rating 1456 vs 1506).
- H2H favours Tianjin Jinmen Tigers: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Qingdao Hainiu | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2.4 | 1.2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.1 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 3.3 | 1.8 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.2 | 3.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Qingdao Hainiu 2–1–3 Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 China Super League | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Qingdao Hainiu |
| 27/07/25 China Super League | Qingdao Hainiu | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers |
| 29/03/25 China Super League | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Qingdao Hainiu |
| 27/10/24 China Super League | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Qingdao Hainiu |
| 26/05/24 China Super League | Qingdao Hainiu | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers |
| 22/10/23 China Super League | Qingdao Hainiu | 1-4 HT 0-2 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers |
Standings · China Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 39 | 18 | 43 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 21 | 29 |
| 3 | Dalian Young Boy | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 32 | 28 |
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 35 | 25 |
| 5 | Qingdao West Coast | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 23 | 29 | 25 |
| 6 | Shandong Taishan | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 35 | 34 | 24 |
| 7 | Beijing Guoan | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 24 | 22 |
| 8 | Zhejiang | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 32 | 21 |
| 9 | Liaoning Ironman | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 30 | 21 |
| 10 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 33 | 20 |
| 11 | Shanghai Shenhua | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 29 | 19 |
| 12 | Henan | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 18 |
| 13 | Shanghai Port | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 28 | 26 | 16 |
| 14 | Qingdao Hainiu | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 30 | 36 | 14 |
| 15 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 22 | 11 |
| 16 | Wuhan Three Towns | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | 11 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Qingdao Hainiu | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| Henan | 1-5 L | 1-2 L |
| Zhejiang | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Chengdu Rongcheng | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 2-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Dalian Young Boy | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Tianjin Jinmen Tigers (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Qingdao Hainiu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Henan China Super League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 14/07 | Zhejiang China Super League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 05/07 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 26/06 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
4-2 | 4-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 20/06 | Wuxi Wugo China FA Cup |
2-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 30/05 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 20/05 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
0-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 2 | L |
| 19/06 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China FA Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 31/05 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 19/05 | Henan China Super League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 15/05 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Zhejiang China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 05/05 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Qingdao Hainiu vs Tianjin Jinmen Tigers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Qingdao Hainiu win (37%). Probabilities: Qingdao Hainiu 37%, draw 28%, Tianjin Jinmen Tigers 35%.
How many goals are expected in Qingdao Hainiu vs Tianjin Jinmen Tigers?
The model expects 2.7 goals (Qingdao Hainiu 1.37 · Tianjin Jinmen Tigers 1.34), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Qingdao Hainiu vs Tianjin Jinmen Tigers?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.