Football · China Super League · 02/08, 12:00

Prediction: Qingdao West Coast vs Qingdao Hainiu

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.21Total

Qingdao West Coast2.16

Qingdao Hainiu1.05

1X2

62% 22% 16%

Qingdao West Coast Draw Qingdao Hainiu

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Qingdao West Coast 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWDDWWLDLW

Qingdao Hainiu 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLDWDLLLL

Head-to-head

Qingdao West Coast 2–3–1 Qingdao Hainiu (6 last)

Qingdao Hainiu0-0Qingdao West Coast
Qingdao West Coast1-0Qingdao Hainiu
Qingdao Hainiu2-2Qingdao West Coast
Qingdao Hainiu3-1Qingdao West Coast
Qingdao West Coast1-0Qingdao Hainiu
Qingdao Hainiu1-1Qingdao West Coast

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Qingdao West Coast (rating 1535 vs 1423).
H2H favours Qingdao West Coast: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Qingdao West Coast	Qingdao Hainiu
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.4	1.4 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.7 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.5	1 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.4	2.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 32.01

Under 31.81

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 01:20

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.72 → 1.71▼	Pinn 1.71
X	3.97 → 4.02▲	Pinn 4.02
2	4.41 → 4.41	Pinn 4.41

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.1%

Time*	1	X	2
00:21	1.72	3.97	4.41
01:20	1.71▼	4.02▲	4.41

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Qingdao West Coast 2–3–1 Qingdao Hainiu

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/04/26 China Super League	Qingdao Hainiu	0-0 HT 0-0	Qingdao West Coast
29/06/25 China Super League	Qingdao West Coast	1-0 HT 1-0	Qingdao Hainiu
23/02/25 China Super League	Qingdao Hainiu	2-2 HT 2-1	Qingdao West Coast
07/07/24 China Super League	Qingdao Hainiu	3-1 HT 3-1	Qingdao West Coast
30/03/24 China Super League	Qingdao West Coast	1-0 HT 1-0	Qingdao Hainiu
24/11/22 China Division 1	Qingdao Hainiu	1-1 HT 0-0	Qingdao West Coast

Standings · China Super League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chengdu Rongcheng	20	13	5	2	41	20	44
2	Chongqing Tonglianglong	20	7	8	5	23	22	29
3	Yunnan Yukun	20	8	4	8	40	38	28
4	Dalian Young Boy	19	9	1	9	30	35	28
5	Qingdao West Coast	20	6	10	4	24	29	28
6	Shandong Taishan	20	9	3	8	36	36	24
7	Zhejiang	20	8	5	7	30	34	24
8	Beijing Guoan	19	7	7	5	32	26	23
9	Henan	19	8	3	8	25	24	21
10	Liaoning Ironman	19	6	3	10	25	31	21
11	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng	20	6	2	12	28	37	20
12	Shanghai Port	19	6	6	7	30	26	19
13	Shanghai Shenhua	19	8	5	6	36	31	19
14	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers	19	6	6	7	26	22	14
15	Wuhan Three Towns	19	4	7	8	27	34	14
16	Qingdao Hainiu	20	6	3	11	30	38	14

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Qingdao West Coast	Qingdao Hainiu
Liaoning Ironman	1-0 W	1-2 L
Chongqing Tonglianglong	0-2 L	0-1 L
Chengdu Rongcheng	1-1 D	1-1 D
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng	0-3 L	2-3 L
Zhejiang	3-1 W	2-3 L
Shanghai Shenhua	2-2 D	1-4 L
Yunnan Yukun	3-2 W	4-2 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 5 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Qingdao West Coast

DWDDWWLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Liaoning Ironman China Super League	0-0	1-0	10	8	W
21/07	Chongqing Tonglianglong China FA Cup	0-1	0-2	1	3	L
17/07	Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League	1-0	1-1	1	6	D
11/07	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League	0-2	0-3	3	5	L
04/07	Shanghai Port China Super League	0-0	2-1	3	4	W
28/06	Zhejiang China Super League	1-1	3-1	7	1	W
19/06	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China FA Cup	1-1	1-1	4	4	D
30/05	Shanghai Shenhua China Super League	1-1	2-2	6	5	D
24/05	Yunnan Yukun China Super League	1-1	3-2	7	4	W
19/05	Beijing Guoan China Super League	0-0	1-1	3	5	D

Qingdao Hainiu

LLLDWDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
21/07	Shanghai Shenhua China FA Cup	1-4	1-4	3	1	L
17/07	Henan China Super League	0-2	1-5	2	1	L
14/07	Zhejiang China Super League	0-1	2-3	6	5	L
05/07	Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League	0-0	1-1	2	1	D
26/06	Yunnan Yukun China Super League	4-2	4-2	2	6	W
20/06	Wuxi Wugo China FA Cup	2-1	2-2	1	1	D
30/05	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League	0-1	2-3	3	5	L
24/05	Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League	0-0	0-1	8	3	L
20/05	Liaoning Ironman China Super League	0-1	1-2	0	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Qingdao West Coast vs Qingdao Hainiu?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Qingdao West Coast win (62%). Probabilities: Qingdao West Coast 62%, draw 22%, Qingdao Hainiu 16%.

How many goals are expected in Qingdao West Coast vs Qingdao Hainiu?

The model expects 3.21 goals (Qingdao West Coast 2.16 · Qingdao Hainiu 1.05), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Qingdao West Coast vs Qingdao Hainiu?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.