Football · China Super League · 01/08, 14:00
Prediction: Chengdu Rongcheng vs Wuhan Three Towns
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.98Total
Chengdu Rongcheng1.88
Wuhan Three Towns1.1
1X2
Chengdu Rongcheng
Draw
Wuhan Three Towns
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Chengdu Rongcheng
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Wuhan Three Towns
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chengdu Rongcheng
2–3–1
Wuhan Three Towns
(6 last)
- Wuhan Three Towns0-1Chengdu Rongcheng
- Wuhan Three Towns2-2Chengdu Rongcheng
- Chengdu Rongcheng1-0Wuhan Three Towns
- Wuhan Three Towns1-1Chengdu Rongcheng
- Chengdu Rongcheng2-2Wuhan Three Towns
- Chengdu Rongcheng0-1Wuhan Three Towns
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chengdu Rongcheng (rating 1553 vs 1490).
- H2H favours Chengdu Rongcheng: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chengdu Rongcheng | Wuhan Three Towns | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 7.6 | 2.8 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.2 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chengdu Rongcheng 2–3–1 Wuhan Three Towns
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 China Super League | Wuhan Three Towns | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Chengdu Rongcheng |
| 29/06/25 China Super League | Wuhan Three Towns | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Chengdu Rongcheng |
| 22/02/25 China Super League | Chengdu Rongcheng | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 20/07/24 China Super League | Wuhan Three Towns | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Chengdu Rongcheng |
| 01/05/24 China Super League | Chengdu Rongcheng | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 19/08/23 China Super League | Chengdu Rongcheng | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Wuhan Three Towns |
Standings · China Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 39 | 18 | 43 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 29 |
| 3 | Dalian Young Boy | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 32 | 28 |
| 4 | Qingdao West Coast | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 24 | 29 | 28 |
| 5 | Yunnan Yukun | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 35 | 25 |
| 6 | Shandong Taishan | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 35 | 34 | 24 |
| 7 | Beijing Guoan | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 24 | 22 |
| 8 | Zhejiang | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 32 | 21 |
| 9 | Liaoning Ironman | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 31 | 21 |
| 10 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 33 | 20 |
| 11 | Shanghai Port | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 30 | 26 | 19 |
| 12 | Shanghai Shenhua | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 36 | 31 | 19 |
| 13 | Henan | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 18 |
| 14 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 22 | 14 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 34 | 14 |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 30 | 38 | 14 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chengdu Rongcheng | Wuhan Three Towns |
|---|---|---|
| Yunnan Yukun | 3-3 D | 1-1 D |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 3-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Shandong Taishan | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Dalian Young Boy | 0-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Wuhan Three Towns (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chengdu Rongcheng
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Yunnan Yukun China FA Cup |
2-2 | 3-3 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 17/07 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 11/07 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 15 | 3 | D |
| 05/07 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 27/06 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 9 | 8 | W |
| 20/06 | Shanghai Zetian China FA Cup |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 19/05 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 11 | L |
| 15/05 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
Wuhan Three Towns
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 21/07 | Shandong Taishan China FA Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 18/07 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Qingdao Red Lions China FA Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | D |
| 31/05 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 9 | D |
| 24/05 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 20/05 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 16/05 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chengdu Rongcheng vs Wuhan Three Towns?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chengdu Rongcheng win (55%). Probabilities: Chengdu Rongcheng 55%, draw 25%, Wuhan Three Towns 21%.
How many goals are expected in Chengdu Rongcheng vs Wuhan Three Towns?
The model expects 2.98 goals (Chengdu Rongcheng 1.88 · Wuhan Three Towns 1.1), with a 57% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Chengdu Rongcheng vs Wuhan Three Towns?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.