Football · China Super League · 01/08, 13:35
Prediction: Beijing Guoan vs Zhejiang
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.6Total
Beijing Guoan2.25
Zhejiang1.35
1X2
Beijing Guoan
Draw
Zhejiang
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Beijing Guoan
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Zhejiang
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Beijing Guoan
3–2–1
Zhejiang
(6 last)
- Zhejiang0-0Beijing Guoan
- Zhejiang3-4Beijing Guoan
- Beijing Guoan2-0Zhejiang
- Beijing Guoan0-0Zhejiang
- Zhejiang1-2Beijing Guoan
- Beijing Guoan0-1Zhejiang
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Beijing Guoan (rating 1573 vs 1493).
- H2H favours Beijing Guoan: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Beijing Guoan | Zhejiang | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.2 | 1.7 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.1 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 7.6 | 1.8 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 3.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Beijing Guoan 3–2–1 Zhejiang
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 China Super League | Zhejiang | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Beijing Guoan |
| 10/08/25 China Super League | Zhejiang | 3-4 HT 2-1 | Beijing Guoan |
| 06/04/25 China Super League | Beijing Guoan | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Zhejiang |
| 16/08/24 China Super League | Beijing Guoan | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Zhejiang |
| 26/04/24 China Super League | Zhejiang | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Beijing Guoan |
| 15/09/23 China Super League | Beijing Guoan | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Zhejiang |
Standings · China Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 39 | 18 | 43 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 29 |
| 3 | Dalian Young Boy | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 32 | 28 |
| 4 | Qingdao West Coast | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 24 | 29 | 28 |
| 5 | Yunnan Yukun | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 35 | 25 |
| 6 | Shandong Taishan | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 35 | 34 | 24 |
| 7 | Beijing Guoan | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 24 | 22 |
| 8 | Zhejiang | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 32 | 21 |
| 9 | Liaoning Ironman | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 31 | 21 |
| 10 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 33 | 20 |
| 11 | Shanghai Port | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 30 | 26 | 19 |
| 12 | Shanghai Shenhua | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 36 | 31 | 19 |
| 13 | Henan | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 18 |
| 14 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 22 | 14 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 34 | 14 |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 30 | 38 | 14 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Beijing Guoan | Zhejiang |
|---|---|---|
| Liaoning Ironman | 1-1 D | 0-5 L |
| Shandong Taishan | 2-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Henan | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Qingdao West Coast | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Qingdao Hainiu | 4-2 W | 3-2 W |
| Shanghai Port | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 1 L | 3 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Beijing Guoan (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Beijing Guoan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Dalian Kewei China FA Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 17/07 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 04/07 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 19/06 | Guangdong GZ-Power China FA Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Henan China Super League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 19/05 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 15/05 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
3-0 | 4-2 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
Zhejiang
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 14/07 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 05/07 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 28/06 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 19/06 | Shaanxi Union China FA Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | Henan China Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 20/05 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
0-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 15/05 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 10/05 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Beijing Guoan vs Zhejiang?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Beijing Guoan win (57%). Probabilities: Beijing Guoan 57%, draw 22%, Zhejiang 22%.
How many goals are expected in Beijing Guoan vs Zhejiang?
The model expects 3.6 goals (Beijing Guoan 2.25 · Zhejiang 1.35), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Beijing Guoan vs Zhejiang?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.