Football · China Super League · 31/07, 13:35

Prediction: Henan vs Dalian Young Boy

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.11Total

Henan1.82

Dalian Young Boy1.29

1X2

49% 25% 26%

Henan Draw Dalian Young Boy

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Henan 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWLWLLWD

Dalian Young Boy 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLDWLDLWWD

Head-to-head

Henan 1–1–2 Dalian Young Boy (4 last)

Henan1-1Dalian Young Boy
Dalian Young Boy2-1Henan
Henan4-0Dalian Young Boy
Dalian Young Boy1-0Henan

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Dalian Young Boy: 2-1-1.
High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Henan	Dalian Young Boy
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.3	1.5 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.7 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5	3.4 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	4.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.86

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:26

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.84 → 1.85▲	Pinn 1.85
X	3.71 → 3.76▲	Pinn 3.76
2	3.91 → 3.96▲	Pinn 3.96

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5.8%

Time*	1	X	2
14:26 +1’	1.84	3.71	3.91
15:25 +1’	1.85▲	3.76▲	3.96▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Henan 1–1–2 Dalian Young Boy

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
21/07/26 China FA Cup	Henan	1-1 HT 1-1	Dalian Young Boy
18/04/26 China Super League	Dalian Young Boy	2-1 HT 0-1	Henan
24/08/25 China Super League	Henan	4-0 HT 4-0	Dalian Young Boy
16/04/25 China Super League	Dalian Young Boy	1-0 HT 0-0	Henan

Standings · China Super League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chengdu Rongcheng	19	13	4	2	39	18	43
2	Chongqing Tonglianglong	20	7	8	5	23	22	29
3	Dalian Young Boy	18	9	1	8	28	32	28
4	Qingdao West Coast	20	6	10	4	24	29	28
5	Yunnan Yukun	19	7	4	8	36	35	25
6	Shandong Taishan	19	9	3	7	35	34	24
7	Beijing Guoan	18	7	6	5	30	24	22
8	Zhejiang	19	7	5	7	27	32	21
9	Liaoning Ironman	19	6	3	10	25	31	21
10	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng	19	6	2	11	25	33	20
11	Shanghai Port	19	6	6	7	30	26	19
12	Shanghai Shenhua	19	8	5	6	36	31	19
13	Henan	18	7	3	8	23	23	18
14	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers	19	6	6	7	26	22	14
15	Wuhan Three Towns	19	4	7	8	27	34	14
16	Qingdao Hainiu	20	6	3	11	30	38	14

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Henan	Dalian Young Boy
Qingdao Hainiu	5-1 W	1-3 L
Tianjin Jinmen Tigers	2-1 W	0-1 L
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng	1-0 W	1-1 D
Chengdu Rongcheng	0-3 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Henan (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Henan

LWWWLWLLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/07	Dalian Young Boy China FA Cup	1-1	1-1	7	4	D
17/07	Qingdao Hainiu China Super League	2-0	5-1	6	1	W
03/07	Yunnan Yukun China Super League	1-0	1-2	1	4	L
27/06	Shanghai Port China Super League	1-1	1-2	2	4	L
19/06	Jiangxi Lushan China FA Cup	0-0	2-0	8	3	W
30/05	Zhejiang China Super League	0-1	0-2	7	4	L
23/05	Beijing Guoan China Super League	0-1	2-1	5	3	W
19/05	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League	1-0	2-1	1	5	W
15/05	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League	0-0	1-0	9	2	W
09/05	Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League	0-1	0-3	4	3	L

Dalian Young Boy

LLDWLDLWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/07	Henan China FA Cup	1-1	1-1	5	4	D
18/07	Shandong Taishan China Super League	2-1	3-1	6	2	W
04/07	Wuhan Three Towns China Super League	1-2	3-2	7	5	W
28/06	Shanghai Shenhua China Super League	1-2	1-4	8	2	L
19/06	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China FA Cup	1-0	1-1	9	6	D
31/05	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League	0-1	0-1	9	4	L
23/05	Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League	0-0	2-0	3	7	W
19/05	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League	1-1	1-1	7	4	D
15/05	Qingdao West Coast China Super League	0-1	2-3	7	3	L
10/05	Qingdao Hainiu China Super League	0-2	1-3	7	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Henan vs Dalian Young Boy?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Henan win (49%). Probabilities: Henan 49%, draw 25%, Dalian Young Boy 26%.

How many goals are expected in Henan vs Dalian Young Boy?

The model expects 3.11 goals (Henan 1.82 · Dalian Young Boy 1.29), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Henan vs Dalian Young Boy?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.